29 seats needed for a majority

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Seat-by-seat projection	Last election (2019)
	18	9	1	3	31 [25-36]	18
	14	6	1	2	23 [18-29]	38
	1	0	2	0	3 [1-5]	3
	0	0	0	0	0 [0-0]	0

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
001 Agassiz		PC safe
002 Assiniboia		NDP likely
003 Borderland		PC safe
004 Brandon East		NDP leaning
005 Brandon West		PC likely
006 Burrows		NDP safe
007 Concordia		NDP safe
008 Dauphin		NDP likely
009 Dawson Trail		PC likely
010 Elmwood		NDP safe
011 Flin Flon		NDP safe
012 Fort Garry		NDP safe
013 Fort Richmond		Toss up
014 Fort Rouge		NDP safe
015 Fort Whyte		PC likely
016 Interlake-Gimli		Toss up
017 Keewatinook		NDP safe
018 Kildonan-River East		NDP likely
019 Kirkfield Park		PC leaning
020 La Vérendrye		PC safe
021 Lac du Bonnet		PC safe
022 Lagimodière		Toss up
023 Lakeside		PC safe
024 McPhillips		NDP likely
025 Midland		PC safe
026 Morden-Winkler		PC safe
027 Notre Dame		NDP safe
028 Point Douglas		NDP safe
029 Portage la Prairie		PC safe
030 Radisson		NDP likely
031 Red River North		PC likely
032 Riding Mountain		PC safe
033 Riel		NDP likely
034 River Heights		LIB safe
035 Roblin		PC safe
036 Rossmere		NDP likely
037 Seine River		Toss up
038 Selkirk		NDP likely
039 Southdale		NDP likely
040 Springfield-Ritchot		PC safe
041 Spruce Woods		PC safe
042 St. Boniface		LIB leaning
043 St. James		NDP safe
044 St. Johns		NDP safe
045 St. Vital		NDP safe
046 Steinbach		PC safe
047 Swan River		PC likely
048 The Maples		NDP safe
049 The Pas-Kameesak		NDP safe
050 Thompson		NDP safe
051 Transcona		NDP safe
052 Turtle Mountain		PC safe
053 Tuxedo		PC likely
054 Tyndall Park		LIB leaning
055 Union Station		NDP safe
056 Waverley		Toss up
057 Wolseley		NDP safe