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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Union Station


2019 2023 Projection NDP 75% ± 7% 52.6% 70.7% PC 15% ± 6% 17.2% 17.5% LIB 9% ± 5% 18.7% 11.9% GRN 1% ± 2% 9.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Union Station projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

Union Station 67% 82% 75% ± 7% NDP 9% 21% 15% ± 6% PC 4% 14% 9% ± 5% LIB NDP 2019 70.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Union Station >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Union Station

Odds of winning | Union Station