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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Roblin


2019 2023 Projection NDP 51% ± 7% 18.0% 40.6% PC 40% ± 7% 55.2% 49.7% LIB 8% ± 4% 15.8% 9.7% GRN 1% ± 1% 11.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Roblin projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Roblin 44% 58% 51% ± 7% ▲ NDP 33% 47% 40% ± 7% ▼ PC 4% 12% 8% ± 4% LIB PC 2019 49.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Roblin 97%▲ NDP 3%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Roblin

Odds of winning | Roblin