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Manitoba


Waverley


MLA: David Pankratz (NDP)


Latest projection: October 7, 2023

Toss up
Waverley 44% ± 6%▲ NDP 43% ± 6% PC 11% ± 4%▼ LIB PC 2019 50.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Waverley 61%▲ NDP 39%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | October 7, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

2023 Election Candidates | Waverley


PC Party of Manitoba Jon Reyes
Manitoba NDP David Pankratz
Manitoba Liberal Party Uche Nwankwo
Green Party of Manitoba Manjit Kaur


Popular vote projection | Waverley

LIB 11% ± 4% PC 43% ± 6% NDP 44% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Waverley 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Waverley

LIB <1% PC 39% NDP 61% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Waverley



2019 Proj. PC 50.0% 43% ± 6% NDP 28.6% 44% ± 6% LIB 16.4% 11% ± 4% GRN 5.0% 2% ± 2%