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Manitoba


Rossmere


MLA: Tracy Schmidt (NDP)


Latest projection: June 18, 2025

NDP safe
Rossmere 59% ± 7%▲ NDP 35% ± 7%▼ PC 4% ± 3% LIB PC 2019 46.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 18, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Rossmere >99%▲ NDP <1%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 18, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

2023 Election Candidates | Rossmere


PC Party of Manitoba Andrew Micklefield
Manitoba NDP Tracy Schmidt
Manitoba Liberal Party Mike Chapin
Green Party of Manitoba Devlin Hinchey


Popular vote projection | Rossmere

LIB 4% ± 3% PC 35% ± 7% NDP 59% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Rossmere 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP June 18, 2025 2023-09-16 NDP 50% PC 41% LIB 5% 2023-09-16 2023-09-21 NDP 51% PC 41% LIB 4% 2023-09-21 2023-09-24 NDP 51% PC 41% LIB 4% 2023-09-24 2023-10-02 NDP 53% PC 40% LIB 4% 2023-10-02 2023-10-03 NDP 53% PC 40% LIB 4% 2023-10-03 2023-10-07 NDP 51% PC 42% LIB 5% 2023-10-07 2024-06-19 NDP 53% PC 41% LIB 4% 2024-06-19 2025-06-18 NDP 59% PC 35% LIB 4% 2025-06-18

Odds of winning | Rossmere

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP June 18, 2025 2023-09-16 NDP 91% PC 9% LIB <1% 2023-09-16 2023-09-21 NDP 93% PC 7% LIB <1% 2023-09-21 2023-09-24 NDP 94% PC 6% LIB <1% 2023-09-24 2023-10-02 NDP 97% PC 3% LIB <1% 2023-10-02 2023-10-03 NDP 98% PC 2% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-10-07 NDP 98% PC 2% LIB <1% 2023-10-07 2024-06-19 NDP 97% PC 3% LIB <1% 2024-06-19 2025-06-18 NDP >99% PC <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-18

Recent electoral history | Rossmere



2019 Proj. PC 46.9% 35% ± 7% NDP 38.8% 59% ± 7% LIB 7.6% 4% ± 3% GRN 6.6% 2% ± 2%