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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Spruce Woods


2019 2023 Projection PC 47% ± 8% 68.1% 61.8% NDP 40% ± 7% 15.9% 24.0% LIB 12% ± 5% 6.2% 14.2% GRN 1% ± 1% 9.9% 0.0%

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338Canada Spruce Woods projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Spruce Woods 40% 55% 47% ± 8% ▼ PC 32% 47% 40% ± 7% ▲ NDP 7% 17% 12% ± 5% LIB PC 2019 61.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Spruce Woods 88%▼ PC 12%▲ NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Spruce Woods

Odds of winning | Spruce Woods