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Manitoba

Progressive Conservative Party





Last update: June 21, 2022

LeaderBrian Pallister
Popular vote in 201946.8%
Current vote projection38.3% ± 4.0%
Current number of MP's36
Current seat projection24 ± 5



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Morden-Winkler PC safe >99%
2. Steinbach PC safe >99%
3. Agassiz PC safe >99%
4. Midland PC safe >99%
5. Turtle Mountain PC safe >99%
6. Borderland PC safe >99%
7. Spruce Woods PC safe >99%
8. La Vérendrye PC safe >99%
9. Riding Mountain PC safe >99%
10. Lakeside PC safe >99%
11. Lac du Bonnet PC safe >99%
12. Roblin PC safe >99%
13. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe >99%
14. Portage la Prairie PC safe >99%
15. Swan River PC likely >99%
16. Brandon West PC likely >99%
17. Dawson Trail PC likely 99%
18. Red River North PC likely 99%
19. Tuxedo PC likely 97%
20. Fort Whyte PC likely 96%
21. Kirkfield Park PC leaning 81%
22. Lagimodière Toss up 66%
23. Interlake-Gimli Toss up 48%
24. Fort Richmond Toss up 46%
25. Waverley Toss up 41%
26. Seine River Toss up 39%
27. Brandon East NDP leaning 15%
28. Selkirk NDP likely 8%
29. Kildonan-River East NDP likely 8%
30. Riel NDP likely 5%
31. Radisson NDP likely 4%
32. Assiniboia NDP likely 2%
33. Rossmere NDP likely 1%
34. Dauphin NDP likely <1%
35. McPhillips NDP likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Morden-Winkler PC safe
2. Steinbach PC safe
3. Agassiz PC safe
4. Midland PC safe
5. Turtle Mountain PC safe
6. Borderland PC safe
7. Spruce Woods PC safe
8. La Vérendrye PC safe
9. Riding Mountain PC safe
10. Lakeside PC safe
11. Lac du Bonnet PC safe
12. Roblin PC safe
13. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe
14. Portage la Prairie PC safe
15. Swan River PC likely
16. Brandon West PC likely
17. Dawson Trail PC likely
18. Red River North PC likely
19. Tuxedo PC likely
20. Fort Whyte PC likely
21. Kirkfield Park PC leaning
22. Lagimodière Toss up
23. Interlake-Gimli Toss up
24. Fort Richmond Toss up
25. Waverley Toss up
26. Seine River Toss up
27. Brandon East NDP leaning
28. Selkirk NDP likely
29. Kildonan-River East NDP likely
30. Riel NDP likely
31. Radisson NDP likely
32. Assiniboia NDP likely
33. Rossmere NDP likely
34. Dauphin NDP likely
35. McPhillips NDP likely