338Canada.com Manitoba - Progressive Conservative Party





Last update: December 19, 2021

LeaderBrian Pallister
Popular vote in 201946.8%
Current vote projection38.7% ± 4.0%
Current number of MP's36
Current seat projection24 ± 5



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Morden-Winkler PC safe >99%
2. Steinbach PC safe >99%
3. Agassiz PC safe >99%
4. Midland PC safe >99%
5. Borderland PC safe >99%
6. Turtle Mountain PC safe >99%
7. La Vérendrye PC safe >99%
8. Spruce Woods PC safe >99%
9. Lac du Bonnet PC safe >99%
10. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe >99%
11. Roblin PC safe >99%
12. Fort Whyte PC safe >99%
13. Riding Mountain PC safe >99%
14. Lakeside PC safe >99%
15. Portage la Prairie PC safe >99%
16. Swan River PC likely >99%
17. Brandon West PC likely >99%
18. Dawson Trail PC likely >99%
19. Red River North PC likely 99%
20. Tuxedo PC likely 98%
21. Kirkfield Park PC leaning 85%
22. Lagimodière PC leaning 70%
23. Fort Richmond Toss up 55%
24. Interlake-Gimli Toss up 53%
25. Waverley Toss up 46%
26. Seine River Toss up 44%
27. Brandon East NDP leaning 17%
28. Selkirk NDP leaning 11%
29. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning 10%
30. Riel NDP likely 7%
31. Radisson NDP likely 5%
32. Assiniboia NDP likely 3%
33. Rossmere NDP likely 2%
34. McPhillips NDP likely 1%
35. Dauphin NDP likely 1%
36. Southdale NDP likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Morden-Winkler PC safe
2. Steinbach PC safe
3. Agassiz PC safe
4. Midland PC safe
5. Borderland PC safe
6. Turtle Mountain PC safe
7. La Vérendrye PC safe
8. Spruce Woods PC safe
9. Lac du Bonnet PC safe
10. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe
11. Roblin PC safe
12. Fort Whyte PC safe
13. Riding Mountain PC safe
14. Lakeside PC safe
15. Portage la Prairie PC safe
16. Swan River PC likely
17. Brandon West PC likely
18. Dawson Trail PC likely
19. Red River North PC likely
20. Tuxedo PC likely
21. Kirkfield Park PC leaning
22. Lagimodière PC leaning
23. Fort Richmond Toss up
24. Interlake-Gimli Toss up
25. Waverley Toss up
26. Seine River Toss up
27. Brandon East NDP leaning
28. Selkirk NDP leaning
29. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning
30. Riel NDP likely
31. Radisson NDP likely
32. Assiniboia NDP likely
33. Rossmere NDP likely
34. McPhillips NDP likely
35. Dauphin NDP likely
36. Southdale NDP likely



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