Progressive Conservative Party

Last update: June 21, 2022
Leader | Brian Pallister |
Popular vote in 2019 | 46.8% |
Current vote projection | 38.3% ± 4.0% |
Current number of MP's | 36 |
Current seat projection | 24 ± 5 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Morden-Winkler | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
2. | Steinbach | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
3. | Agassiz | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
4. | Midland | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
5. | Turtle Mountain | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
6. | Borderland | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
7. | Spruce Woods | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
8. | La Vérendrye | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
9. | Riding Mountain | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
10. | Lakeside | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
11. | Lac du Bonnet | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
12. | Roblin | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
13. | Springfield-Ritchot | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
14. | Portage la Prairie | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
15. | Swan River | ![]() |
PC likely | >99% |
16. | Brandon West | ![]() |
PC likely | >99% |
17. | Dawson Trail | ![]() |
PC likely | 99% |
18. | Red River North | ![]() |
PC likely | 99% |
19. | Tuxedo | ![]() |
PC likely | 97% |
20. | Fort Whyte | ![]() |
PC likely | 96% |
21. | Kirkfield Park | ![]() |
PC leaning | 81% |
22. | Lagimodière | ![]() |
Toss up | 66% |
23. | Interlake-Gimli | ![]() |
Toss up | 48% |
24. | Fort Richmond | ![]() |
Toss up | 46% |
25. | Waverley | ![]() |
Toss up | 41% |
26. | Seine River | ![]() |
Toss up | 39% |
27. | Brandon East | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 15% |
28. | Selkirk | ![]() |
NDP likely | 8% |
29. | Kildonan-River East | ![]() |
NDP likely | 8% |
30. | Riel | ![]() |
NDP likely | 5% |
31. | Radisson | ![]() |
NDP likely | 4% |
32. | Assiniboia | ![]() |
NDP likely | 2% |
33. | Rossmere | ![]() |
NDP likely | 1% |
34. | Dauphin | ![]() |
NDP likely | <1% |
35. | McPhillips | ![]() |
NDP likely | <1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Morden-Winkler | PC safe |
2. | Steinbach | PC safe |
3. | Agassiz | PC safe |
4. | Midland | PC safe |
5. | Turtle Mountain | PC safe |
6. | Borderland | PC safe |
7. | Spruce Woods | PC safe |
8. | La Vérendrye | PC safe |
9. | Riding Mountain | PC safe |
10. | Lakeside | PC safe |
11. | Lac du Bonnet | PC safe |
12. | Roblin | PC safe |
13. | Springfield-Ritchot | PC safe |
14. | Portage la Prairie | PC safe |
15. | Swan River | PC likely |
16. | Brandon West | PC likely |
17. | Dawson Trail | PC likely |
18. | Red River North | PC likely |
19. | Tuxedo | PC likely |
20. | Fort Whyte | PC likely |
21. | Kirkfield Park | PC leaning |
22. | Lagimodière | Toss up |
23. | Interlake-Gimli | Toss up |
24. | Fort Richmond | Toss up |
25. | Waverley | Toss up |
26. | Seine River | Toss up |
27. | Brandon East | NDP leaning |
28. | Selkirk | NDP likely |
29. | Kildonan-River East | NDP likely |
30. | Riel | NDP likely |
31. | Radisson | NDP likely |
32. | Assiniboia | NDP likely |
33. | Rossmere | NDP likely |
34. | Dauphin | NDP likely |
35. | McPhillips | NDP likely |