338Canada.com Manitoba - Progressive Conservative Party





Last update: December 13, 2020

LeaderBrian Pallister
Popular vote in 201946.8%
Current vote projection39.6% ± 5.0%
Current number of MP's36
Current seat projection28 ± 8



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Steinbach PC safe >99%
2. Morden-Winkler PC safe >99%
3. Agassiz PC safe >99%
4. Borderland PC safe >99%
5. Midland PC safe >99%
6. La Vérendrye PC safe >99%
7. Spruce Woods PC safe >99%
8. Turtle Mountain PC safe >99%
9. Riding Mountain PC safe >99%
10. Lakeside PC safe >99%
11. Portage la Prairie PC safe >99%
12. Lac du Bonnet PC safe >99%
13. Fort Whyte PC safe >99%
14. Roblin PC safe >99%
15. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe >99%
16. Swan River PC safe >99%
17. Dawson Trail PC likely >99%
18. Brandon West PC likely >99%
19. Red River North PC likely >99%
20. Tuxedo PC likely >99%
21. Kirkfield Park PC likely 95%
22. Lagimodière PC likely 90%
23. Seine River PC leaning 81%
24. Interlake-Gimli PC leaning 75%
25. Waverley PC leaning 72%
26. Fort Richmond Toss up 68%
27. Brandon East Toss up 54%
28. Kildonan-River East Toss up 51%
29. Selkirk Toss up 45%
30. Riel Toss up 44%
31. Radisson Toss up 40%
32. McPhillips Toss up 31%
33. Assiniboia NDP leaning 29%
34. Rossmere NDP leaning 25%
35. Dauphin NDP leaning 18%
36. Southdale NDP leaning 16%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Steinbach PC safe
2. Morden-Winkler PC safe
3. Agassiz PC safe
4. Borderland PC safe
5. Midland PC safe
6. La Vérendrye PC safe
7. Spruce Woods PC safe
8. Turtle Mountain PC safe
9. Riding Mountain PC safe
10. Lakeside PC safe
11. Portage la Prairie PC safe
12. Lac du Bonnet PC safe
13. Fort Whyte PC safe
14. Roblin PC safe
15. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe
16. Swan River PC safe
17. Dawson Trail PC likely
18. Brandon West PC likely
19. Red River North PC likely
20. Tuxedo PC likely
21. Kirkfield Park PC likely
22. Lagimodière PC likely
23. Seine River PC leaning
24. Interlake-Gimli PC leaning
25. Waverley PC leaning
26. Fort Richmond Toss up
27. Brandon East Toss up
28. Kildonan-River East Toss up
29. Selkirk Toss up
30. Riel Toss up
31. Radisson Toss up
32. McPhillips Toss up
33. Assiniboia NDP leaning
34. Rossmere NDP leaning
35. Dauphin NDP leaning
36. Southdale NDP leaning



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