338Canada.com Manitoba - Progressive Conservative Party





Last update: June 10, 2020

LeaderBrian Pallister
Popular vote in 201946.8%
Current vote projection38.6% ± 5.0%
Current number of MP's36
Current seat projection25 ± 8



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Morden-Winkler PC safe >99%
2. Steinbach PC safe >99%
3. Agassiz PC safe >99%
4. Midland PC safe >99%
5. Borderland PC safe >99%
6. La Vérendrye PC safe >99%
7. Spruce Woods PC safe >99%
8. Turtle Mountain PC safe >99%
9. Lac du Bonnet PC safe >99%
10. Roblin PC safe >99%
11. Riding Mountain PC safe >99%
12. Lakeside PC safe >99%
13. Fort Whyte PC safe >99%
14. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe >99%
15. Portage la Prairie PC safe >99%
16. Swan River PC likely >99%
17. Dawson Trail PC likely >99%
18. Brandon West PC likely 99%
19. Red River North PC likely 99%
20. Tuxedo PC likely 97%
21. Kirkfield Park PC leaning 83%
22. Lagimodière PC leaning 73%
23. Interlake-Gimli Toss up 64%
24. Fort Richmond Toss up 61%
25. Waverley Toss up 52%
26. Seine River Toss up 50%
27. Brandon East Toss up 40%
28. Selkirk Toss up 30%
29. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning 24%
30. Riel NDP leaning 18%
31. Radisson NDP leaning 16%
32. Assiniboia NDP likely 10%
33. Dauphin NDP likely 10%
34. Rossmere NDP likely 8%
35. McPhillips NDP likely 5%
36. Southdale NDP likely 4%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Morden-Winkler PC safe
2. Steinbach PC safe
3. Agassiz PC safe
4. Midland PC safe
5. Borderland PC safe
6. La Vérendrye PC safe
7. Spruce Woods PC safe
8. Turtle Mountain PC safe
9. Lac du Bonnet PC safe
10. Roblin PC safe
11. Riding Mountain PC safe
12. Lakeside PC safe
13. Fort Whyte PC safe
14. Springfield-Ritchot PC safe
15. Portage la Prairie PC safe
16. Swan River PC likely
17. Dawson Trail PC likely
18. Brandon West PC likely
19. Red River North PC likely
20. Tuxedo PC likely
21. Kirkfield Park PC leaning
22. Lagimodière PC leaning
23. Interlake-Gimli Toss up
24. Fort Richmond Toss up
25. Waverley Toss up
26. Seine River Toss up
27. Brandon East Toss up
28. Selkirk Toss up
29. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning
30. Riel NDP leaning
31. Radisson NDP leaning
32. Assiniboia NDP likely
33. Dauphin NDP likely
34. Rossmere NDP likely
35. McPhillips NDP likely
36. Southdale NDP likely



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