Progressive Conservative Party

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Morden-Winkler		PC safe	>99%
2.	Steinbach		PC safe	>99%
3.	Agassiz		PC safe	>99%
4.	Midland		PC safe	>99%
5.	Turtle Mountain		PC safe	>99%
6.	Borderland		PC safe	>99%
7.	Spruce Woods		PC safe	>99%
8.	La Vérendrye		PC safe	>99%
9.	Riding Mountain		PC safe	>99%
10.	Lakeside		PC safe	>99%
11.	Lac du Bonnet		PC safe	>99%
12.	Roblin		PC safe	>99%
13.	Springfield-Ritchot		PC safe	>99%
14.	Portage la Prairie		PC safe	>99%
15.	Swan River		PC likely	>99%
16.	Brandon West		PC likely	>99%
17.	Dawson Trail		PC likely	99%
18.	Red River North		PC likely	99%
19.	Tuxedo		PC likely	97%
20.	Fort Whyte		PC likely	96%
21.	Kirkfield Park		PC leaning	81%
22.	Lagimodière		Toss up	66%
23.	Interlake-Gimli		Toss up	48%
24.	Fort Richmond		Toss up	46%
25.	Waverley		Toss up	41%
26.	Seine River		Toss up	39%
27.	Brandon East		NDP leaning	15%
28.	Selkirk		NDP likely	8%
29.	Kildonan-River East		NDP likely	8%
30.	Riel		NDP likely	5%
31.	Radisson		NDP likely	4%
32.	Assiniboia		NDP likely	2%
33.	Rossmere		NDP likely	1%
34.	Dauphin		NDP likely	<1%
35.	McPhillips		NDP likely	<1%