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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | St. James


2019 2023 Projection NDP 70% ± 7% 47.3% 64.8% PC 23% ± 6% 32.8% 27.7% LIB 6% ± 4% 10.4% 7.5% GRN 1% ± 1% 9.5% 0.0%

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338Canada St. James projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

St. James 63% 77% 70% ± 7% NDP 17% 29% 23% ± 6% PC 2% 10% 6% ± 4% LIB NDP 2019 64.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% St. James >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | St. James

Odds of winning | St. James