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Manitoba


Manitoba Liberal Party





Last update: June 19, 2024

LeaderDougald Lamont
Popular vote in 202310.6%
Current vote projection9.4% ± 2.4%
Current number of MP's1
Current seat projection1 [1-1]

1. Tyndall Park 2. River Heights 3. Fort Whyte 4. Burrows 5. St. Boniface 6. Kirkfield Park 7. Southdale 8. Waverley 9. Tuxedo 10. The Maples 11. Roblin 12. Lagimodière 13. McPhillips 14. Assiniboia 15. Kildonan-River East 16. Springfield-Ritchot 17. Interlake-Gimli 18. Fort Richmond 19. Seine River 20. Spruce Woods 21. Rossmere 22. Radisson 23. Brandon West 24. Dawson Trail 25. Riel 26. Fort Garry 27. Selkirk 28. Lakeside 29. St. Vital Majority: 29 seats 30. Brandon East 31. Dauphin 32. Portage la Prairie 33. Transcona 34. Keewatinook 35. St. Johns 36. Riding Mountain 37. La Vérendrye 38. Lac du Bonnet 39. Red River North 40. Elmwood 41. Concordia 42. Turtle Mountain 43. St. James 44. Midland 45. Borderland 46. Fort Rouge 47. Union Station 48. Steinbach 49. Swan River 50. Agassiz 51. The Pas-Kameesak 52. Point Douglas 53. Thompson 54. Morden-Winkler 55. Wolseley 56. Notre Dame 57. Flin Flon LIB The path to 29 seats 338Canada Manitoba projection June 19, 2024

Vote projection | June 19, 2024

4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 7.0% ▼ 9.4% ± 2.4% ▼ Max. 11.8% ▼ 2019 14.6% Probabilities % LIB

Seat projection | June 19, 2024

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 ▼ Max. 1 ▼ 1 ▼ 2019 3 seats Probabilities % LIB

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Manitoba Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Tyndall Park LIB safe >99%
2. River Heights NDP likely 3%
3. Fort Whyte PC likely 2%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Tyndall Park LIB safe
2. River Heights NDP likely
3. Fort Whyte PC likely