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Last update: December 19, 2021
| Leader | Dougald Lamont |
| Popular vote in 2019 | 14.6% |
| Current vote projection | 13.5% ± 2.3% |
| Current number of MP's | 3 |
| Current seat projection | 3 ± 2 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Manitoba Liberal Party
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | River Heights | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 2. | Tyndall Park | |
LIB leaning | 78% |
| 3. | St. Boniface | |
LIB leaning | 73% |
| 4. | Fort Richmond |  |
Toss up | 25% |
| 5. | Tuxedo | |
PC likely | <1% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | River Heights | LIB safe |
| 2. | Tyndall Park | LIB leaning |
| 3. | St. Boniface | LIB leaning |
| 4. | Fort Richmond | Toss up |
| 5. | Tuxedo | PC likely |