logo
logo
Manitoba


Manitoba Liberal Party





Last update: June 18, 2025

LeaderDougald Lamont
Popular vote in 202310.6%
Current vote projection8.7% ± 2.3%
Current number of MP's1
Current seat projection1 [1-1]

1. Tyndall Park 2. Fort Whyte 3. River Heights 4. Burrows 5. St. Boniface 6. Kirkfield Park 7. Roblin 8. Springfield-Ritchot 9. Waverley 10. Southdale 11. Tuxedo 12. Spruce Woods 13. Lakeside 14. The Maples 15. Lagimodière 16. McPhillips 17. Portage la Prairie 18. Interlake-Gimli 19. Assiniboia 20. Kildonan-River East 21. Dawson Trail 22. Red River North 23. Riding Mountain 24. Lac du Bonnet 25. Fort Richmond 26. Seine River 27. La Vérendrye 28. Rossmere 29. Turtle Mountain Majority: 29 seats 30. Brandon West 31. Selkirk 32. Radisson 33. Midland 34. Riel 35. Fort Garry 36. Borderland 37. Swan River 38. St. Vital 39. Dauphin 40. Brandon East 41. St. Johns 42. Agassiz 43. Steinbach 44. Transcona 45. Keewatinook 46. Elmwood 47. Morden-Winkler 48. Concordia 49. St. James 50. Fort Rouge 51. Union Station 52. The Pas-Kameesak 53. Point Douglas 54. Thompson 55. Wolseley 56. Notre Dame 57. Flin Flon LIB The path to 29 seats 338Canada Manitoba projection June 18, 2025

Vote projection | June 18, 2025

4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 6.4% ▼ 8.7% ± 2.3% ▼ Max. 11.0% ▼ Probabilities % LIB

Seat projection | June 18, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 ▼ Max. 1 ▼ 1 ▼ 2019 3 seats Probabilities % LIB

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Manitoba Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Tyndall Park LIB likely 97%
2. Fort Whyte PC likely 3%