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Manitoba


Manitoba Liberal Party





Last update: October 7, 2023

LeaderDougald Lamont
Popular vote in 201914.6%
Current vote projection10.6% ± 0.3%
Current number of MP's1
Current seat projection1 [1-1]

1. Tyndall Park 2. River Heights 3. Fort Whyte 4. Burrows 5. Tuxedo 6. St. Boniface 7. Kirkfield Park 8. Southdale 9. Waverley 10. The Maples 11. Lagimodière 12. McPhillips 13. Roblin 14. Assiniboia 15. Kildonan-River East 16. Fort Richmond 17. Seine River 18. Rossmere 19. Springfield-Ritchot 20. Fort Garry 21. Radisson 22. Riel 23. Spruce Woods 24. Interlake-Gimli 25. Brandon West 26. St. Vital 27. Lakeside 28. Brandon East 29. Dauphin Majority: 29 seats 30. Dawson Trail 31. Transcona 32. Selkirk 33. Keewatinook 34. St. Johns 35. Portage la Prairie 36. Elmwood 37. Concordia 38. St. James 39. La Vérendrye 40. Fort Rouge 41. Union Station 42. Riding Mountain 43. Lac du Bonnet 44. Red River North 45. Borderland 46. Turtle Mountain 47. Midland 48. The Pas-Kameesak 49. Point Douglas 50. Steinbach 51. Thompson 52. Agassiz 53. Swan River 54. Wolseley 55. Notre Dame 56. Morden-Winkler 57. Flin Flon LIB The path to 29 seats 338Canada Manitoba projection October 7, 2023

Vote projection | October 7, 2023

10% 11% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 10.3% 10.6% ± 0.3% Max. 10.9% Probabilities % LIB

Seat projection | October 7, 2023

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 Max. 1 1 2019 3 seats Probabilities % LIB

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Manitoba Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Tyndall Park LIB safe >99%
2. River Heights NDP likely 6%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Tyndall Park LIB safe
2. River Heights NDP likely