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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Riel


2019 2023 Projection NDP 59% ± 7% 35.5% 54.6% PC 34% ± 7% 44.8% 38.0% LIB 6% ± 4% 13.7% 7.4% GRN 1% ± 1% 5.9% 0.0%

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338Canada Riel projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

Riel 52% 67% 59% ± 7% NDP 27% 41% 34% ± 7% PC 2% 10% 6% ± 4% LIB NDP 2019 54.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Riel >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Riel

Odds of winning | Riel