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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Interlake-Gimli


2019 2023 Projection NDP 56% ± 7% 33.1% 43.1% PC 40% ± 7% 58.6% 49.6% LIB 3% ± 2% 3.8% 3.6% GRN 1% ± 1% 4.5% 0.0% KSP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 3.8%

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338Canada Interlake-Gimli projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Interlake-Gimli 49% 63% 56% ± 7% ▲ NDP 33% 47% 40% ± 7% ▼ PC PC 2019 49.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Interlake-Gimli 99%▲ NDP 1%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Interlake-Gimli

Odds of winning | Interlake-Gimli