338Canada.com Manitoba - New Democratic Party





Last update: December 19, 2021

LeaderWab Kinew
Popular vote in 201931.6%
Current vote projection41.1% ± 4.1%
Current number of MP's18
Current seat projection30 ± 6



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Notre Dame NDP safe >99%
2. Keewatinook NDP safe >99%
3. Flin Flon NDP safe >99%
4. Point Douglas NDP safe >99%
5. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe >99%
6. Concordia NDP safe >99%
7. Thompson NDP safe >99%
8. Union Station NDP safe >99%
9. St. Johns NDP safe >99%
10. Fort Rouge NDP safe >99%
11. St. James NDP safe >99%
12. Elmwood NDP safe >99%
13. Wolseley NDP safe >99%
14. St. Vital NDP safe >99%
15. Fort Garry NDP safe >99%
16. Burrows NDP safe >99%
17. The Maples NDP safe >99%
18. Transcona NDP safe >99%
19. Southdale NDP likely 99%
20. Dauphin NDP likely 99%
21. McPhillips NDP likely 99%
22. Rossmere NDP likely 98%
23. Assiniboia NDP likely 97%
24. Radisson NDP likely 95%
25. Riel NDP likely 93%
26. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning 90%
27. Selkirk NDP leaning 89%
28. Brandon East NDP leaning 83%
29. Seine River Toss up 56%
30. Waverley Toss up 54%
31. Interlake-Gimli Toss up 47%
32. Lagimodière PC leaning 30%
33. St. Boniface LIB leaning 27%
34. Tyndall Park LIB leaning 22%
35. Fort Richmond Toss up 20%
36. Kirkfield Park PC leaning 15%
37. Tuxedo PC likely 1%
38. Red River North PC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Notre Dame NDP safe
2. Keewatinook NDP safe
3. Flin Flon NDP safe
4. Point Douglas NDP safe
5. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe
6. Concordia NDP safe
7. Thompson NDP safe
8. Union Station NDP safe
9. St. Johns NDP safe
10. Fort Rouge NDP safe
11. St. James NDP safe
12. Elmwood NDP safe
13. Wolseley NDP safe
14. St. Vital NDP safe
15. Fort Garry NDP safe
16. Burrows NDP safe
17. The Maples NDP safe
18. Transcona NDP safe
19. Southdale NDP likely
20. Dauphin NDP likely
21. McPhillips NDP likely
22. Rossmere NDP likely
23. Assiniboia NDP likely
24. Radisson NDP likely
25. Riel NDP likely
26. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning
27. Selkirk NDP leaning
28. Brandon East NDP leaning
29. Seine River Toss up
30. Waverley Toss up
31. Interlake-Gimli Toss up
32. Lagimodière PC leaning
33. St. Boniface LIB leaning
34. Tyndall Park LIB leaning
35. Fort Richmond Toss up
36. Kirkfield Park PC leaning
37. Tuxedo PC likely
38. Red River North PC likely



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