New Democratic Party
Last update: June 21, 2022
Leader | Wab Kinew |
Popular vote in 2019 | 31.6% |
Current vote projection | 41.3% ± 4.1% |
Current number of MP's | 18 |
Current seat projection | 30 ± 5 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Notre Dame | NDP safe | >99% | |
2. | Flin Flon | NDP safe | >99% | |
3. | Keewatinook | NDP safe | >99% | |
4. | Point Douglas | NDP safe | >99% | |
5. | The Pas-Kameesak | NDP safe | >99% | |
6. | Concordia | NDP safe | >99% | |
7. | Thompson | NDP safe | >99% | |
8. | Fort Rouge | NDP safe | >99% | |
9. | Union Station | NDP safe | >99% | |
10. | St. Johns | NDP safe | >99% | |
11. | St. James | NDP safe | >99% | |
12. | Elmwood | NDP safe | >99% | |
13. | Wolseley | NDP safe | >99% | |
14. | Transcona | NDP safe | >99% | |
15. | St. Vital | NDP safe | >99% | |
16. | Fort Garry | NDP safe | >99% | |
17. | Burrows | NDP safe | >99% | |
18. | The Maples | NDP safe | >99% | |
19. | Southdale | ![]() |
NDP likely | >99% |
20. | McPhillips | ![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
21. | Dauphin | ![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
22. | Rossmere | ![]() |
NDP likely | 99% |
23. | Assiniboia | ![]() |
NDP likely | 98% |
24. | Radisson | ![]() |
NDP likely | 96% |
25. | Riel | ![]() |
NDP likely | 95% |
26. | Kildonan-River East | ![]() |
NDP likely | 92% |
27. | Selkirk | ![]() |
NDP likely | 92% |
28. | Brandon East | ![]() |
NDP leaning | 85% |
29. | Seine River | ![]() |
Toss up | 61% |
30. | Waverley | ![]() |
Toss up | 59% |
31. | Interlake-Gimli | ![]() |
Toss up | 52% |
32. | Lagimodière | ![]() |
Toss up | 34% |
33. | St. Boniface | ![]() |
LIB leaning | 21% |
34. | Fort Richmond | ![]() |
Toss up | 20% |
35. | Kirkfield Park | ![]() |
PC leaning | 19% |
36. | Tyndall Park | ![]() |
LIB leaning | 17% |
37. | Tuxedo | ![]() |
PC likely | 2% |
38. | Red River North | ![]() |
PC likely | 1% |
39. | Dawson Trail | ![]() |
PC likely | <1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Notre Dame | NDP safe |
2. | Flin Flon | NDP safe |
3. | Keewatinook | NDP safe |
4. | Point Douglas | NDP safe |
5. | The Pas-Kameesak | NDP safe |
6. | Concordia | NDP safe |
7. | Thompson | NDP safe |
8. | Fort Rouge | NDP safe |
9. | Union Station | NDP safe |
10. | St. Johns | NDP safe |
11. | St. James | NDP safe |
12. | Elmwood | NDP safe |
13. | Wolseley | NDP safe |
14. | Transcona | NDP safe |
15. | St. Vital | NDP safe |
16. | Fort Garry | NDP safe |
17. | Burrows | NDP safe |
18. | The Maples | NDP safe |
19. | Southdale | NDP likely |
20. | McPhillips | NDP likely |
21. | Dauphin | NDP likely |
22. | Rossmere | NDP likely |
23. | Assiniboia | NDP likely |
24. | Radisson | NDP likely |
25. | Riel | NDP likely |
26. | Kildonan-River East | NDP likely |
27. | Selkirk | NDP likely |
28. | Brandon East | NDP leaning |
29. | Seine River | Toss up |
30. | Waverley | Toss up |
31. | Interlake-Gimli | Toss up |
32. | Lagimodière | Toss up |
33. | St. Boniface | LIB leaning |
34. | Fort Richmond | Toss up |
35. | Kirkfield Park | PC leaning |
36. | Tyndall Park | LIB leaning |
37. | Tuxedo | PC likely |
38. | Red River North | PC likely |
39. | Dawson Trail | PC likely |