338Canada.com Manitoba - New Democratic Party





Last update: December 13, 2020

LeaderWab Kinew
Popular vote in 201931.6%
Current vote projection38.0% ± 5.2%
Current number of MP's18
Current seat projection26 ± 9



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Notre Dame NDP safe >99%
2. Keewatinook NDP safe >99%
3. Flin Flon NDP safe >99%
4. Point Douglas NDP safe >99%
5. Concordia NDP safe >99%
6. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe >99%
7. Thompson NDP safe >99%
8. St. Johns NDP safe >99%
9. Union Station NDP safe >99%
10. Fort Rouge NDP safe >99%
11. Elmwood NDP safe >99%
12. St. James NDP safe >99%
13. St. Vital NDP safe >99%
14. Burrows NDP safe >99%
15. Fort Garry NDP safe >99%
16. Wolseley NDP safe >99%
17. Transcona NDP safe >99%
18. The Maples NDP likely >99%
19. Southdale NDP leaning 84%
20. Dauphin NDP leaning 82%
21. Rossmere NDP leaning 75%
22. Assiniboia NDP leaning 71%
23. McPhillips Toss up 69%
24. Radisson Toss up 60%
25. Riel Toss up 56%
26. Selkirk Toss up 55%
27. Kildonan-River East Toss up 49%
28. Brandon East Toss up 46%
29. St. Boniface Toss up 43%
30. Waverley PC leaning 28%
31. Interlake-Gimli PC leaning 25%
32. Seine River PC leaning 19%
33. Lagimodière PC likely 10%
34. Tyndall Park LIB likely 7%
35. Kirkfield Park PC likely 5%
36. Fort Richmond Toss up 4%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Notre Dame NDP safe
2. Keewatinook NDP safe
3. Flin Flon NDP safe
4. Point Douglas NDP safe
5. Concordia NDP safe
6. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe
7. Thompson NDP safe
8. St. Johns NDP safe
9. Union Station NDP safe
10. Fort Rouge NDP safe
11. Elmwood NDP safe
12. St. James NDP safe
13. St. Vital NDP safe
14. Burrows NDP safe
15. Fort Garry NDP safe
16. Wolseley NDP safe
17. Transcona NDP safe
18. The Maples NDP likely
19. Southdale NDP leaning
20. Dauphin NDP leaning
21. Rossmere NDP leaning
22. Assiniboia NDP leaning
23. McPhillips Toss up
24. Radisson Toss up
25. Riel Toss up
26. Selkirk Toss up
27. Kildonan-River East Toss up
28. Brandon East Toss up
29. St. Boniface Toss up
30. Waverley PC leaning
31. Interlake-Gimli PC leaning
32. Seine River PC leaning
33. Lagimodière PC likely
34. Tyndall Park LIB likely
35. Kirkfield Park PC likely
36. Fort Richmond Toss up



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