New Democratic Party
Last update: October 7, 2023
Leader | Wab Kinew |
Popular vote in 2019 | 31.6% |
Current vote projection | 45.9% ± 0.6% |
Current number of MP's | 34 |
Current seat projection | 34 [32-35] |
Vote projection | October 7, 2023
Seat projection | October 7, 2023
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Notre Dame | NDP safe | >99% | |
2. | Flin Flon | NDP safe | >99% | |
3. | Wolseley | NDP safe | >99% | |
4. | Point Douglas | NDP safe | >99% | |
5. | Union Station | NDP safe | >99% | |
6. | Fort Rouge | NDP safe | >99% | |
7. | Thompson | NDP safe | >99% | |
8. | The Pas-Kameesak | NDP safe | >99% | |
9. | St. James | NDP safe | >99% | |
10. | Concordia | NDP safe | >99% | |
11. | Elmwood | NDP safe | >99% | |
12. | St. Johns | NDP safe | >99% | |
13. | St. Vital | NDP safe | >99% | |
14. | Fort Garry | NDP safe | >99% | |
15. | Transcona | NDP safe | >99% | |
16. | The Maples | NDP safe | >99% | |
17. | Riel | NDP safe | >99% | |
18. | Fort Richmond | NDP safe | >99% | |
19. | St. Boniface | NDP safe | >99% | |
20. | Southdale | NDP safe | >99% | |
21. | Seine River | NDP safe | >99% | |
22. | Keewatinook | NDP safe | >99% | |
23. | Burrows | NDP likely | >99% | |
24. | Brandon East | NDP likely | >99% | |
25. | Radisson | NDP likely | 99% | |
26. | Assiniboia | NDP likely | 99% | |
27. | Rossmere | NDP likely | 98% | |
28. | Kildonan-River East | NDP likely | 96% | |
29. | Kirkfield Park | NDP likely | 95% | |
30. | River Heights | NDP likely | 94% | |
31. | Dauphin | NDP leaning | 78% | |
32. | McPhillips | NDP leaning | 77% | |
33. | Waverley | Toss up | 61% | |
34. | Lagimodière | Toss up | 58% | |
35. | Brandon West | Toss up | 40% | |
36. | Tuxedo | PC leaning | 23% | |
37. | Selkirk | PC leaning | 12% | |
38. | Interlake-Gimli | PC likely | 5% | |
39. | Dawson Trail | PC likely | 2% | |
40. | Roblin | PC likely | 1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Notre Dame | NDP safe |
2. | Flin Flon | NDP safe |
3. | Wolseley | NDP safe |
4. | Point Douglas | NDP safe |
5. | Union Station | NDP safe |
6. | Fort Rouge | NDP safe |
7. | Thompson | NDP safe |
8. | The Pas-Kameesak | NDP safe |
9. | St. James | NDP safe |
10. | Concordia | NDP safe |
11. | Elmwood | NDP safe |
12. | St. Johns | NDP safe |
13. | St. Vital | NDP safe |
14. | Fort Garry | NDP safe |
15. | Transcona | NDP safe |
16. | The Maples | NDP safe |
17. | Riel | NDP safe |
18. | Fort Richmond | NDP safe |
19. | St. Boniface | NDP safe |
20. | Southdale | NDP safe |
21. | Seine River | NDP safe |
22. | Keewatinook | NDP safe |
23. | Burrows | NDP likely |
24. | Brandon East | NDP likely |
25. | Radisson | NDP likely |
26. | Assiniboia | NDP likely |
27. | Rossmere | NDP likely |
28. | Kildonan-River East | NDP likely |
29. | Kirkfield Park | NDP likely |
30. | River Heights | NDP likely |
31. | Dauphin | NDP leaning |
32. | McPhillips | NDP leaning |
33. | Waverley | Toss up |
34. | Lagimodière | Toss up |
35. | Brandon West | Toss up |
36. | Tuxedo | PC leaning |
37. | Selkirk | PC leaning |
38. | Interlake-Gimli | PC likely |
39. | Dawson Trail | PC likely |
40. | Roblin | PC likely |