338Canada.com Manitoba - New Democratic Party





Last update: March 31, 2020

LeaderWab Kinew
Popular vote in 201931.6%
Current vote projection40.1% ± 5.3%
Current number of MP's18
Current seat projection29 ± 8



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Notre Dame NDP safe >99%
2. Flin Flon NDP safe >99%
3. Keewatinook NDP safe >99%
4. Point Douglas NDP safe >99%
5. Concordia NDP safe >99%
6. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe >99%
7. Thompson NDP safe >99%
8. St. Johns NDP safe >99%
9. Union Station NDP safe >99%
10. Elmwood NDP safe >99%
11. Fort Rouge NDP safe >99%
12. St. James NDP safe >99%
13. St. Vital NDP safe >99%
14. Fort Garry NDP safe >99%
15. Burrows NDP safe >99%
16. Transcona NDP safe >99%
17. Wolseley NDP safe >99%
18. The Maples NDP safe >99%
19. Southdale NDP likely 95%
20. McPhillips NDP likely 94%
21. Rossmere NDP likely 91%
22. Dauphin NDP leaning 90%
23. Assiniboia NDP leaning 89%
24. Radisson NDP leaning 83%
25. Riel NDP leaning 80%
26. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning 75%
27. Selkirk Toss up 68%
28. St. Boniface Toss up 63%
29. Brandon East Toss up 59%
30. Seine River Toss up 49%
31. Waverley Toss up 46%
32. Interlake-Gimli Toss up 34%
33. Lagimodière PC leaning 26%
34. Fort Richmond Toss up 16%
35. Kirkfield Park PC leaning 16%
36. Tyndall Park LIB leaning 15%
37. Tuxedo PC likely 2%
38. Red River North PC likely 1%
39. Brandon West PC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Notre Dame NDP safe
2. Flin Flon NDP safe
3. Keewatinook NDP safe
4. Point Douglas NDP safe
5. Concordia NDP safe
6. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe
7. Thompson NDP safe
8. St. Johns NDP safe
9. Union Station NDP safe
10. Elmwood NDP safe
11. Fort Rouge NDP safe
12. St. James NDP safe
13. St. Vital NDP safe
14. Fort Garry NDP safe
15. Burrows NDP safe
16. Transcona NDP safe
17. Wolseley NDP safe
18. The Maples NDP safe
19. Southdale NDP likely
20. McPhillips NDP likely
21. Rossmere NDP likely
22. Dauphin NDP leaning
23. Assiniboia NDP leaning
24. Radisson NDP leaning
25. Riel NDP leaning
26. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning
27. Selkirk Toss up
28. St. Boniface Toss up
29. Brandon East Toss up
30. Seine River Toss up
31. Waverley Toss up
32. Interlake-Gimli Toss up
33. Lagimodière PC leaning
34. Fort Richmond Toss up
35. Kirkfield Park PC leaning
36. Tyndall Park LIB leaning
37. Tuxedo PC likely
38. Red River North PC likely
39. Brandon West PC likely



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