338Canada.com Manitoba - New Democratic Party





Last update: June 10, 2020

LeaderWab Kinew
Popular vote in 201931.6%
Current vote projection40.7% ± 5.2%
Current number of MP's18
Current seat projection29 ± 8



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Notre Dame NDP safe >99%
2. Keewatinook NDP safe >99%
3. Flin Flon NDP safe >99%
4. Point Douglas NDP safe >99%
5. Concordia NDP safe >99%
6. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe >99%
7. Thompson NDP safe >99%
8. St. Johns NDP safe >99%
9. Union Station NDP safe >99%
10. Fort Rouge NDP safe >99%
11. Elmwood NDP safe >99%
12. St. James NDP safe >99%
13. Transcona NDP safe >99%
14. Wolseley NDP safe >99%
15. St. Vital NDP safe >99%
16. Fort Garry NDP safe >99%
17. Burrows NDP safe >99%
18. The Maples NDP safe >99%
19. Southdale NDP likely 96%
20. McPhillips NDP likely 95%
21. Rossmere NDP likely 92%
22. Dauphin NDP likely 90%
23. Assiniboia NDP likely 90%
24. Radisson NDP leaning 84%
25. Riel NDP leaning 82%
26. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning 76%
27. St. Boniface NDP leaning 72%
28. Selkirk Toss up 70%
29. Brandon East Toss up 60%
30. Seine River Toss up 50%
31. Waverley Toss up 48%
32. Interlake-Gimli Toss up 36%
33. Lagimodière PC leaning 27%
34. Tyndall Park LIB leaning 23%
35. Fort Richmond Toss up 19%
36. Kirkfield Park PC leaning 17%
37. Tuxedo PC likely 3%
38. Red River North PC likely 1%
39. Brandon West PC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Notre Dame NDP safe
2. Keewatinook NDP safe
3. Flin Flon NDP safe
4. Point Douglas NDP safe
5. Concordia NDP safe
6. The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe
7. Thompson NDP safe
8. St. Johns NDP safe
9. Union Station NDP safe
10. Fort Rouge NDP safe
11. Elmwood NDP safe
12. St. James NDP safe
13. Transcona NDP safe
14. Wolseley NDP safe
15. St. Vital NDP safe
16. Fort Garry NDP safe
17. Burrows NDP safe
18. The Maples NDP safe
19. Southdale NDP likely
20. McPhillips NDP likely
21. Rossmere NDP likely
22. Dauphin NDP likely
23. Assiniboia NDP likely
24. Radisson NDP leaning
25. Riel NDP leaning
26. Kildonan-River East NDP leaning
27. St. Boniface NDP leaning
28. Selkirk Toss up
29. Brandon East Toss up
30. Seine River Toss up
31. Waverley Toss up
32. Interlake-Gimli Toss up
33. Lagimodière PC leaning
34. Tyndall Park LIB leaning
35. Fort Richmond Toss up
36. Kirkfield Park PC leaning
37. Tuxedo PC likely
38. Red River North PC likely
39. Brandon West PC likely



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