logo
Manitoba


Lakeside


MLA: Trevor King (PC)


Latest projection: October 7, 2023

PC safe
Lakeside 62% ± 5%▲ PC 27% ± 4%▼ NDP 11% ± 3%▲ LIB PC 2019 68.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Lakeside >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | October 7, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

2023 Election Candidates | Lakeside


PC Party of Manitoba Trevor King
Manitoba NDP Dan Rugg
Manitoba Liberal Party Neil Stewart


Popular vote projection | Lakeside

LIB 11% ± 3% PC 62% ± 5% NDP 27% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Lakeside 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Lakeside

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Lakeside



2019 Proj. PC 68.2% 62% ± 5% NDP 22.2% 27% ± 4% LIB 9.5% 11% ± 3%