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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Lagimodière


2019 2023 Projection NDP 51% ± 7% 27.9% 46.2% PC 41% ± 7% 51.8% 45.4% LIB 7% ± 4% 14.8% 8.4% GRN 1% ± 1% 5.6% 0.0%

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338Canada Lagimodière projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

Lagimodière 44% 58% 51% ± 7% NDP 34% 48% 41% ± 7% PC 3% 10% 7% ± 4% LIB NDP 2019 46.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lagimodière 95%▲ NDP 5%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Lagimodière

Odds of winning | Lagimodière