logo
Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Lagimodière


2019 2023 Projection NDP 52% ± 7% 27.9% 46.2% PC 40% ± 7% 51.8% 45.4% LIB 7% ± 3% 14.8% 8.4% GRN 1% ± 1% 5.6% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Manitoba flag

338Canada Lagimodière projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Lagimodière 45% 60% 52% ± 7% NDP 33% 47% 40% ± 7% PC 3% 10% 7% ± 3% LIB NDP 2019 46.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lagimodière 98%▲ NDP 2%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Lagimodière

Odds of winning | Lagimodière