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Manitoba


McPhillips


MLA: JD Devgan (NDP)


Latest projection: October 7, 2023

NDP leaning
McPhillips 47% ± 5%▼ NDP 44% ± 5%▲ PC 9% ± 3%▼ LIB PC 2019 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% McPhillips 77%▼ NDP 23%▲ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | October 7, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

2023 Election Candidates | McPhillips


PC Party of Manitoba Sheilah Restall
Manitoba NDP JD Devgan
Manitoba Liberal Party Umar Hayat


Popular vote projection | McPhillips

LIB 9% ± 3% PC 44% ± 5% NDP 47% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | McPhillips 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | McPhillips

LIB <1% PC 23% NDP 77% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | McPhillips



2019 Proj. PC 38.2% 44% ± 5% NDP 37.2% 47% ± 5% LIB 17.1% 9% ± 3% GRN 4.7% 0% ± 0%