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Manitoba

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Southern Manitoba

18 provincial districts
Latest update: June 28, 2026

Southern Manitoba 51% 60% 56% ± 5% PC 33% 42% 38% ± 4% NDP 3% 6% 5% ± 2% LIB 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Southern Manitoba, 18 federal districts 14 [13-15] PC 4 [3-5] NDP 338Canada seat projection | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Manitoba Projection | Southern Manitoba

Manitoba Seat Projection | Southern Manitoba



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List of districts | Southern Manitoba
Latest update: June 28, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Jodie Byram
PC PC safe
Josh Guenter
PC PC safe
Glen Simard
N NDP safe
Wayne Balcaen
PC NDP likely
Bob Lagassé
PC NDP leaning
Konrad Narth
PC PC safe
Wayne Ewasko
PC PC likely
Trevor King
PC PC safe
Lauren Stone
PC PC safe
Carrie Hiebert
PC PC safe
Jeff Bereza
PC PC likely
Jeff Wharton
PC PC leaning
Greg Nesbitt
PC PC likely
Richard Perchotte
PC NDP likely
Ron Schuler
PC PC leaning
Colleen Robbins
PC PC likely
Kelvin Goertzen
PC PC safe
Doyle Piwniuk
PC PC safe