Southern Manitoba, 18 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2019) | |
14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2019) | |
17 | 18 | |
1 | 0 | |
0 | 0 |
Projection | the Southern Manitoba
Latest update: October 7, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Southern Manitoba
Seat projection | Southern Manitoba
List of electoral districts
Latest update: October 7, 2023
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
001 Agassiz | PC safe | |
003 Borderland | PC safe | |
004 Brandon East | NDP likely | |
005 Brandon West | Toss up | |
009 Dawson Trail | PC likely | |
020 La Vérendrye | PC safe | |
021 Lac du Bonnet | PC safe | |
023 Lakeside | PC safe | |
025 Midland | PC safe | |
026 Morden-Winkler | PC safe | |
029 Portage la Prairie | PC safe | |
031 Red River North | PC safe | |
032 Riding Mountain | PC safe | |
038 Selkirk | PC leaning | |
040 Springfield-Ritchot | PC safe | |
041 Spruce Woods | PC safe | |
046 Steinbach | PC safe | |
052 Turtle Mountain | PC safe |