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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Southdale


2019 2023 Projection NDP 54% ± 7% 37.8% 48.5% PC 31% ± 6% 42.4% 34.1% LIB 13% ± 5% 13.5% 16.2% GRN 1% ± 1% 5.6% 0.0%

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338Canada Southdale projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

Southdale 47% 61% 54% ± 7% NDP 25% 37% 31% ± 6% PC 8% 18% 13% ± 5% LIB NDP 2019 48.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Southdale >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Southdale

Odds of winning | Southdale