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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Burrows


2019 2023 Projection NDP 51% ± 8% 39.7% 45.8% LIB 27% ± 7% 18.3% 31.7% PC 21% ± 6% 26.1% 22.5% GRN 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Burrows projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Burrows 43% 59% 51% ± 8% NDP 19% 34% 27% ± 7% LIB 15% 27% 21% ± 6% PC NDP 2019 45.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burrows >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Burrows

Odds of winning | Burrows