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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Swan River


2019 2023 Projection PC 60% ± 8% 68.9% 63.0% NDP 39% ± 8% 25.9% 31.8% GRN 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% KSP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 5.2% LIB 0% ± 0% 5.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Swan River projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

Swan River 53% 68% 60% ± 8% PC 31% 46% 39% ± 8% NDP PC 2019 63.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Swan River >99% PC <1% NDP <1% GRN Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Swan River

Odds of winning | Swan River