logo
Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Swan River


2019 2023 Projection PC 59% ± 8% 68.9% 63.0% NDP 40% ± 8% 25.9% 31.8% GRN 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% KSP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 5.2% LIB 0% ± 0% 5.3% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Manitoba flag

338Canada Swan River projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Swan River 52% 67% 59% ± 8% PC 32% 47% 40% ± 8% NDP PC 2019 63.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Swan River >99% PC <1% NDP <1% GRN Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Swan River

Odds of winning | Swan River