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Manitoba


Tuxedo


MLA: Heather Stefanson (PC)


Latest projection: October 7, 2023

PC leaning
Tuxedo 40% ± 5%▼ PC 37% ± 5%▲ NDP 22% ± 4%▲ LIB PC 2019 47.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Tuxedo 77%▼ PC 23%▲ NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | October 7, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

2023 Election Candidates | Tuxedo


PC Party of Manitoba Heather Stefanson
Manitoba NDP Larissa Ashdown
Manitoba Liberal Party Marc Brandson


Popular vote projection | Tuxedo

LIB 22% ± 4% PC 40% ± 5% NDP 37% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Tuxedo 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Tuxedo

LIB <1% PC 77% NDP 23% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Tuxedo



2019 Proj. PC 47.9% 40% ± 5% LIB 23.6% 22% ± 4% NDP 19.8% 37% ± 5% GRN 8.2% 0% ± 0%