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Northern Manitoba

7 provincial districts
Latest update: March 22, 2026

Northern Manitoba 54% 63% 58% ± 5% NDP 34% 44% 39% ± 5% PC 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Northern Manitoba, 7 federal districts 6 [5-6] NDP 1  [1-2] PC 338Canada seat projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Manitoba Projection | Northern Manitoba

Manitoba Seat Projection | Northern Manitoba



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List of districts | Northern Manitoba
Latest update: March 22, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Ron Kostyshyn
N NDP likely
Tom Lindsay
N NDP safe
Derek Johnson
PC NDP leaning
Ian Bushie
N NDP safe
Rick Wowchuk
PC PC safe
Amanda Lathlin
N NDP safe
Eric Redhead
N NDP safe