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Manitoba

Northern Manitoba, 7 districts


Latest update: October 7, 2023
Northern Manitoba 54% ± 2% NDP 44% ± 2% PC 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Northern Manitoba, 7 districts 5 [4-5] NDP 2 [2-3] PC 0 [0-0] LIB 0 [0-0] IND 338Canada seat projection | October 7, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Northern Manitoba

LIB 2% ± 1% PC 44% ± 2% NDP 54% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Northern Manitoba 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Seat projection | Northern Manitoba

LIB 0 [0-0] PC 2 [2-3] NDP 5 [4-5] Seat projection | Northern Manitoba 6 5 4 3 2 1 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Seat projection | Northern Manitoba


Latest update: October 7, 2023
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2019)
4 0 1 0 5 4
1 1 0 0 2 3

List of electoral districts | Northern Manitoba


Latest update: October 7, 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
008 Dauphin NDP leaning
011 Flin Flon NDP safe
016 Interlake-Gimli PC likely
017 Keewatinook NDP safe
047 Swan River PC safe
049 The Pas-Kameesak NDP safe
050 Thompson NDP safe