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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | The Maples


2019 2023 Projection NDP 62% ± 7% 39.5% 55.5% PC 20% ± 6% 26.6% 23.1% LIB 17% ± 6% 29.8% 21.4% GRN 1% ± 1% 4.1% 0.0%

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338Canada The Maples projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

The Maples 55% 70% 62% ± 7% NDP 14% 26% 20% ± 6% PC 11% 22% 17% ± 6% LIB NDP 2019 55.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% The Maples >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | The Maples

Odds of winning | The Maples