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Manitoba


St. Vital


MLA: MOSES, Jamie (NDP)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

NDP safe
St. Vital 60% ± 7% NDP 25% ± 6% PC 10% ± 4% LIB 2% ± 2% GRN NDP 2019 44.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% St. Vital >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | St. Vital

LIB 10% ± 4% PC 25% ± 6% NDP 60% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | St. Vital 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | St. Vital

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | St. Vital



2019 Proj. NDP 44.5% 60% ± 7% PC 34.9% 25% ± 6% LIB 13.8% 10% ± 4% GRN 5.5% 2% ± 2%