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Manitoba

Manitoba provincial polls



NDP 53% ± 4%▲
PC 37% ± 4%▼
LIB 9% ± 2%
GRN 1% ± 0%

LIB PC NDP GRN Voting intentions % 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 Election 2023 June 18, 2025 2023-09-16 PC 45% NDP 43% LIB 10% GRN 1% 2023-09-16 2023-09-21 NDP 46% PC 43% LIB 9% GRN 1% 2023-09-21 2023-09-24 NDP 46% PC 43% LIB 9% GRN 1% 2023-09-24 2023-10-02 NDP 47% PC 42% LIB 9% GRN 1% 2023-10-02 2023-10-03 NDP 47% PC 42% LIB 9% GRN 1% 2023-10-03 2023-10-07 NDP 46% PC 42% LIB 11% GRN 1% 2023-10-07 2024-06-19 NDP 48% PC 41% LIB 9% GRN 1% 2024-06-19 2025-06-18 NDP 53% PC 37% LIB 9% GRN 1% 2025-06-18 [▲▼: movement since previous update]

Projection updated on June 18, 2025
Firm Rating Date
(middle)		 Sample PC NDP LIB GRN Leader
Probe Research
B
2025-06-05 1,000 32 57 8 1 NDP +25
Probe Research
B
2024-12-04 1,000 34 53 6 2 NDP +19
Probe Research
B
2023-11-28 1,000 38 51 7 2 NDP +13
Forum Research
B
2023-10-02 910 41 45 12 1 NDP +4
Research Co.
A−
2023-10-01 600 39 48 10 2 NDP +9
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-09-30 698 41 47 10 1 NDP +6
Angus Reid
A−
2023-09-17 990 41 47 9 2 NDP +6
Research Co.
A−
2023-09-16 600 39 41 14 3 NDP +2
Probe Research
B
2023-09-13 1,000 39 49 9 2 NDP +10
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-08-31 601 43 42 9 3 PC +1
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-07-27 597 42 38 12 3 PC +4
Probe Research
B
2023-06-07 1,000 41 41 10 5 Tie
Angus Reid
A−
2023-06-01 515 39 44 10 4 NDP +5
Probe Research
B
2023-03-15 1,000 38 44 9 4 NDP +6
Mainstreet Research
A−
2023-01-25 514 37 42 15 5 NDP +5
Probe Research
B
2022-11-30 1,000 35 46 13 3 NDP +11
Probe Research
B
2022-09-14 1,000 37 44 15 3 NDP +7
Angus Reid
A−
2022-06-11 468 38 40 13 3 NDP +2
Probe Research
B
2022-06-07 1,000 35 45 13 3 NDP +10
Probe Research
B
2022-03-16 1,000 34 44 15 2 NDP +10
Angus Reid
A−
2022-03-13 475 39 40 14 3 NDP +1
Angus Reid
A−
2022-01-09 407 36 42 12 3 NDP +6
Probe Research
B
2021-11-30 1,000 37 42 12 4 NDP +5
Angus Reid
A−
2021-10-01 435 38 43 11 4 NDP +5
Innovative Research
B−
2021-09-30 500 41 32 18 5 PC +9
Probe Research
B
2021-09-27 1,000 35 42 12 3 NDP +7
Probe Research
B
2021-06-07 1,000 29 47 14 5 NDP +18
Angus Reid
A−
2021-06-05 398 39 42 11 4 NDP +3
Probe Research
B
2021-03-18 1,000 36 42 11 6 NDP +6
Probe Research
B
2020-11-30 1,000 37 41 14 6 NDP +4
Angus Reid
A−
2020-11-27 420 39 40 12 5 NDP +1
Probe Research
B
2020-09-13 1,000 43 34 16 5 PC +9
EKOS
B+
2020-08-06 1,154 44 31 12 9 PC +13
EKOS
B+
2020-07-10 1,694 43 27 18 7 PC +16
Probe Research
B
2020-06-08 1,000 38 36 18 7 PC +2
Innovative Research
B−
2020-06-02 200 38 26 26 10 PC +12
Angus Reid
A−
2020-05-22 430 45 36 12 6 PC +9
Probe Research
B
2020-03-18 1,000 43 33 14 8 PC +10
General election 2019-09-10 478,926 46.8 31.6 14.6 6.4 PC +15.2