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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Fort Garry


2019 2023 Projection NDP 68% ± 7% 42.4% 58.8% PC 20% ± 5% 31.8% 26.4% LIB 9% ± 4% 18.2% 12.2% GRN 3% ± 3% 7.6% 2.6%

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338Canada Fort Garry projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Fort Garry 61% 75% 68% ± 7% ▲ NDP 14% 25% 20% ± 5% ▼ PC 5% 14% 9% ± 4% LIB NDP 2019 58.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fort Garry >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Fort Garry

Odds of winning | Fort Garry