logo
Manitoba

Recent electoral history | The Pas-Kameesak


2019 2023 Projection NDP 72% ± 7% 57.9% 67.2% PC 24% ± 7% 24.3% 28.8% LIB 3% ± 3% 3.4% 4.1% GRN 1% ± 2% 14.4% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Manitoba flag

338Canada The Pas-Kameesak projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

The Pas-Kameesak 64% 79% 72% ± 7% NDP 17% 31% 24% ± 7% PC NDP 2019 67.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% The Pas-Kameesak >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | The Pas-Kameesak

Odds of winning | The Pas-Kameesak