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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | St. Boniface


2019 2023 Projection NDP 60% ± 7% 29.9% 53.3% LIB 26% ± 7% 41.7% 32.7% PC 12% ± 4% 19.1% 13.4% GRN 1% ± 1% 8.5% 0.0%

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338Canada St. Boniface projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

St. Boniface 52% 67% 60% ± 7% NDP 20% 33% 26% ± 7% LIB 8% 16% 12% ± 4% PC NDP 2019 53.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% St. Boniface >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | St. Boniface

Odds of winning | St. Boniface