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Manitoba


River Heights


MLA: Mike Moroz (NDP)


Latest projection: October 7, 2023

NDP likely
River Heights 44% ± 4%▲ 39% ± 4%▲ 16% ± 3%▼ LIB 2019 53.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% River Heights 94%▲ 6%▼ <1% Odds of winning | October 7, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

2023 Election Candidates | River Heights


PC Party of Manitoba Tim Burt
Manitoba NDP Mike Moroz
Manitoba Liberal Party Jon Gerrard
Green Party of Manitoba Nathan Zahn


Popular vote projection | River Heights

LIB 39% ± 4% PC 16% ± 3% NDP 44% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | River Heights 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | River Heights

LIB 6% PC <1% NDP 94% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | River Heights



2019 Proj. LIB 53.8% 39% ± 4% PC 24.7% 16% ± 3% NDP 14.6% 44% ± 4% GRN 6.9% 1% ± 1%