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Manitoba


River Heights


MLA: Mike Moroz (NDP)


Latest projection: June 19, 2024

NDP likely
River Heights 47% ± 8%▲ NDP 35% ± 8%▼ LIB 16% ± 5% PC LIB 2019 53.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% River Heights 97%▲ NDP 3%▼ LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | June 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

2023 Election Candidates | River Heights


PC Party of Manitoba Tim Burt
Manitoba NDP Mike Moroz
Manitoba Liberal Party Jon Gerrard
Green Party of Manitoba Nathan Zahn


Popular vote projection | River Heights

LIB 35% ± 8% PC 16% ± 5% NDP 47% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | River Heights 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP June 19, 2024 2023-09-16 LIB 41% NDP 27% PC 26% 2023-09-16 2023-09-21 LIB 39% NDP 32% PC 24% 2023-09-21 2023-09-24 LIB 38% NDP 32% PC 24% 2023-09-24 2023-10-02 LIB 38% NDP 35% PC 21% 2023-10-02 2023-10-03 LIB 38% NDP 35% PC 21% 2023-10-03 2023-10-07 NDP 44% LIB 39% PC 16% 2023-10-07 2024-06-19 NDP 47% LIB 35% PC 16% 2024-06-19

Odds of winning | River Heights

LIB 3% PC <1% NDP 97% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2023 LIB PC NDP June 19, 2024 2023-09-16 LIB 99% NDP 1% PC 0% 2023-09-16 2023-09-21 LIB 87% NDP 13% PC <1% 2023-09-21 2023-09-24 LIB 86% NDP 14% PC <1% 2023-09-24 2023-10-02 LIB 66% NDP 34% PC <1% 2023-10-02 2023-10-03 LIB 66% NDP 34% PC <1% 2023-10-03 2023-10-07 NDP 94% LIB 6% PC <1% 2023-10-07 2024-06-19 NDP 97% LIB 3% PC <1% 2024-06-19

Recent electoral history | River Heights



2019 Proj. LIB 53.8% 35% ± 8% PC 24.7% 16% ± 5% NDP 14.6% 47% ± 8% GRN 6.9% 1% ± 2%