This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional
polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls.
The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data.
Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada
Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%),
leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
2023 Election Candidates | River Heights
PC Party of Manitoba | Tim Burt |
Manitoba NDP | Mike Moroz |
Manitoba Liberal Party | Jon Gerrard |
Green Party of Manitoba | Nathan Zahn |