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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Morden-Winkler


2019 2023 Projection PC 71% ± 7% 80.9% 74.4% NDP 25% ± 6% 4.8% 22.1% LIB 3% ± 3% 3.7% 3.5% GRN 1% ± 1% 10.6% 0.0%

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338Canada Morden-Winkler projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Morden-Winkler 64% 77% 71% ± 7% PC 19% 32% 25% ± 6% NDP PC 2019 74.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Morden-Winkler >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Morden-Winkler

Odds of winning | Morden-Winkler