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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | St. Johns


2019 2023 Projection NDP 64% ± 7% 51.9% 60.7% PC 13% ± 5% 24.5% 15.7% LIB 6% ± 4% 16.2% 7.6% GRN 1% ± 1% 7.4% 0.0%

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338Canada St. Johns projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

St. Johns 56% 71% 64% ± 7% NDP 9% 18% 13% ± 5% PC 2% 10% 6% ± 4% LIB NDP 2019 60.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% St. Johns >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | St. Johns

Odds of winning | St. Johns