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Recent electoral history | Tyndall Park


2019 2023 Projection LIB 47% ± 9% 54.7% 55.0% NDP 32% ± 7% 30.5% 26.0% PC 20% ± 6% 12.5% 19.0% GRN 1% ± 1% 2.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Tyndall Park projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Tyndall Park 38% 55% 47% ± 9% LIB 25% 40% 32% ± 7% NDP 14% 25% 20% ± 6% PC LIB 2019 55% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Tyndall Park 98%▼ LIB 2%▲ NDP <1% PC Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Wolseley

LIB 5% ± 4% PC 9% ± 4% NDP 78% ± 6% GRN 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Wolseley 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 LIB PC NDP GRN December 20, 2025 2025-06-18 NDP 80% PC 8% GRN 6% LIB 5% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 79% PC 9% GRN 6% LIB 5% 2025-09-13 2025-12-20 NDP 78% PC 9% GRN 7% LIB 5% 2025-12-20 Khan PC leader

Odds of winning | Wolseley

LIB <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 LIB NDP December 20, 2025 2025-06-18 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-12-20 NDP >99% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 Khan PC leader