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Winnipeg

10 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025

Winnipeg 63% 72% 67% ± 4% NDP 12% 18% 15% ± 3% PC 10% 16% 13% ± 3% LIB 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Winnipeg, 10 federal districts 10 [10-10] NDP 338Canada seat projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Manitoba Projection | Winnipeg

Manitoba Seat Projection | Winnipeg



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List of districts | Winnipeg
Latest update: December 20, 2025

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Matt Wiebe
N NDP safe
Jim Maloway
N NDP safe
Wab Kinew
N NDP safe
Malaya Marcelino
N NDP safe
Bernadette Smith
N NDP safe
Mike Moroz
N NDP likely
Robert Loiselle
N NDP safe
Nahanni Fontaine
N NDP safe
Uzoma Asagwara
N NDP safe
Lisa Naylor
N NDP safe