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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Turtle Mountain


2019 2023 Projection PC 56% ± 8% 67.5% 55.2% NDP 38% ± 8% 10.9% 22.6% LIB 5% ± 4% 6.7% 4.9% GRN 2% ± 2% 14.9% 0.0% KSP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 17.3%

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338Canada Turtle Mountain projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Turtle Mountain 48% 63% 56% ± 8% ▼ PC 31% 46% 38% ± 8% ▲ NDP 1% 9% 5% ± 4% LIB PC 2019 55.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Turtle Mountain >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Turtle Mountain

Odds of winning | Turtle Mountain