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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Riding Mountain


2019 2023 Projection PC 52% ± 8% 65.9% 63.2% NDP 43% ± 7% 21.2% 32.5% LIB 4% ± 3% 5.1% 4.3% GRN 1% ± 1% 7.8% 0.0%

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338Canada Riding Mountain projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Riding Mountain 44% 59% 52% ± 8% ▼ PC 36% 51% 43% ± 7% ▲ NDP 1% 6% 4% ± 3% ▲ LIB PC 2019 63.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Riding Mountain 90%▼ PC 10%▲ NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Riding Mountain

Odds of winning | Riding Mountain