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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Riding Mountain


2019 2023 Projection PC 58% ± 7% 65.9% 63.2% NDP 38% ± 7% 21.2% 32.5% LIB 3% ± 3% 5.1% 4.3% GRN 1% ± 1% 7.8% 0.0%

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338Canada Riding Mountain projection

Latest update: March 22, 2026

Riding Mountain 50% 65% 58% ± 7% PC 30% 45% 38% ± 7% NDP PC 2019 63.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Riding Mountain >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Riding Mountain

Odds of winning | Riding Mountain