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Winnipeg suburbs

22 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025

Winnipeg suburbs 48% 57% 53% ± 5% NDP 30% 38% 34% ± 4% PC 9% 14% 12% ± 3% LIB 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Winnipeg suburbs, 22 federal districts 19 [18-20] NDP 2 [1-3] PC 1  [1-1] LIB 338Canada seat projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg suburbs

LIB 12% ± 3% PC 34% ± 4% NDP 53% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg suburbs 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 LIB PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-06-18 NDP 56% PC 32% LIB 12% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 53% PC 35% LIB 12% 2025-09-13 2025-12-20 NDP 53% PC 34% LIB 12% 2025-12-20 Khan PC leader

Seat projection | Winnipeg suburbs

LIB 1 [1-1] PC 2 [1-3] NDP 19 [18-20] Seat projection | Winnipeg suburbs 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 LIB PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-06-18 NDP 20 PC 1 LIB 1 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 19 PC 2 LIB 1 2025-09-13 2025-12-20 NDP 19 PC 2 LIB 1 2025-12-20 Khan PC leader

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List of districts | Winnipeg suburbs
Latest update: December 20, 2025

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Nellie Kennedy
N NDP likely
Diljeet Brar
N NDP safe
Mark Wasyliw [Elected as NDP]
I NDP safe
Jennifer Chen
N NDP safe
Obby Khan
PC PC likely
Rachelle Schott
N NDP likely
Logan Oxenham
N NDP likely
Tyler Blashko
N NDP likely
JD Devgan
N NDP likely
Jelynn Dela Cruz
N NDP likely
Mike Moyes
N NDP safe
Kathleen Cook
PC Toss up
Tracy Schmidt
N NDP likely
Billie Cross
N NDP safe
Renée Cable
N NDP safe
Adrien Sala
N NDP safe
Jamie Moses
N NDP safe
Mintu Sandhu
N NDP safe
Nello Altomare
N NDP safe
Carla Compton
N NDP likely
Cindy Lamoureux
L LIB likely
David Pankratz
N NDP likely