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Manitoba

Recent electoral history | Wolseley


2019 2023 Projection NDP 80% ± 6% 46.0% 75.3% PC 7% ± 3% 9.0% 9.9% GRN 7% ± 4% 36.0% 6.3% LIB 5% ± 3% 8.4% 6.8%

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338Canada Wolseley projection

Latest update: September 26, 2026

Wolseley 75% 86% 80% ± 6% ▲ NDP 3% 10% 7% ± 3% ▼ PC 3% 10% 7% ± 4% GRN 1% 8% 5% ± 3% LIB NDP 2019 75.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Wolseley >99% NDP <1% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | September 26, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Manitoba Projection | Wolseley

Odds of winning | Wolseley