338Canada.com - Bloc québécois






338Canada Projection for the Bloc québécois

Latest update: May 12th 2019



Regional Popular Vote Projection







Regional Seat Projection







National Seat Projection






Ordered list of districts

(Percentages indicate the odds of winning the districts according to the 338Canada Projection of May 12th 2019.)

#1 24009 Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel Safe BQ>99%
#2 24014 Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères Safe BQ>99%
#3 24050 Montcalm Likely BQ99%
#4 24033 La Pointe-de-l'Île Likely BQ99%
#5 24075 Terrebonne Likely BQ98%
#6 24046 Manicouagan Likely BQ98%
#7 24048 Mirabel Likely BQ97%
#8 24060 Repentigny Likely BQ97%
#9 24063 Rivière-du-Nord Likely BQ96%
#10 24031 Joliette Likely BQ94%
#11 24028 Hochelaga Toss up54%
#12 24012 Berthier–Maskinongé Toss up52%
#13 24038 Laurentides–Labelle Toss up52%
#14 24011 Beloeil–Chambly Toss up49%
#15 24071 Salaberry–Suroît Toss up42%
#16 24032 Jonquière Toss up34%
#17 24043 Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Leaning LPC19%
#18 24049 Montarville Likely LPC14%
#19 24041 Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Likely LPC10%
#20 24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie Leaning NDP10%
#21 24013 Thérèse-De Blainville Likely LPC9%
#22 24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely LPC9%
#23 24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot Leaning LPC8%