338Canada Nova Scotia | Progressive Conservative Party





Last update: August 19, 2021

LeaderTim Houston
Popular vote in 201735.7%
Current vote projection38.8% ± 3.4%
Current seat projection29 ± 5




Vote Projection | Progressive Conservative Party | August 19, 2021




Seat Projection | Progressive Conservative Party | August 19, 2021





Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Argyle PC safe >99%
2. Pictou East PC safe >99%
3. Queens PC safe >99%
4. Cumberland South PC safe >99%
5. Pictou West PC safe >99%
6. Guysborough-Tracadie PC safe >99%
7. Shelburne PC safe >99%
8. Pictou Centre PC safe >99%
9. Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley PC safe >99%
10. Colchester North PC safe >99%
11. Antigonish PC safe >99%
12. Inverness PC safe >99%
13. Victoria-The Lakes PC safe >99%
14. Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River PC safe >99%
15. Eastern Passage PC safe >99%
16. Kings North PC safe >99%
17. Digby-Annapolis PC likely 99%
18. Eastern Shore PC likely 99%
19. Richmond PC likely 99%
20. Sackville-Cobequid PC likely 98%
21. Sackville-Uniake PC likely 98%
22. Lunenburg West PC likely 96%
23. Cape Breton East PC likely 96%
24. Lunenburg PC likely 92%
25. Kings West PC likely 91%
26. Dartmouth East PC leaning 80%
27. Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank PC leaning 79%
28. Chester-St. Margaret`s Toss up LIB/PC 68%
29. Hants West Toss up LIB/PC 61%
30. Hants East Toss up LIB/PC 58%
31. Glace Bay-Dominion Toss up LIB/PC/NDP 48%
32. Clare LIB leaning 19%
33. Cole Harbour LIB leaning 11%
34. Hammonds Plains-Lucasville LIB likely 3%
35. Northside-Westmount LIB likely 2%
36. Kings South LIB likely 2%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Argyle PC safe
2. Pictou East PC safe
3. Queens PC safe
4. Cumberland South PC safe
5. Pictou West PC safe
6. Guysborough-Tracadie PC safe
7. Shelburne PC safe
8. Pictou Centre PC safe
9. Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley PC safe
10. Colchester North PC safe
11. Antigonish PC safe
12. Inverness PC safe
13. Victoria-The Lakes PC safe
14. Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River PC safe
15. Eastern Passage PC safe
16. Kings North PC safe
17. Digby-Annapolis PC likely
18. Eastern Shore PC likely
19. Richmond PC likely
20. Sackville-Cobequid PC likely
21. Sackville-Uniake PC likely
22. Lunenburg West PC likely
23. Cape Breton East PC likely
24. Lunenburg PC likely
25. Kings West PC likely
26. Dartmouth East PC leaning
27. Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank PC leaning
28. Chester-St. Margaret`s Toss up LIB/PC
29. Hants West Toss up LIB/PC
30. Hants East Toss up LIB/PC
31. Glace Bay-Dominion Toss up LIB/PC/NDP
32. Clare LIB leaning
33. Cole Harbour LIB leaning
34. Hammonds Plains-Lucasville LIB likely
35. Northside-Westmount LIB likely
36. Kings South LIB likely



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