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Progressive Conservative Party

Latest update: June 28, 2026
LeaderTim Houston
Popular vote in 202452.5%
Current vote projection45.9% ± 5.2%
Current seat projection37 ± 5

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Vote projection | June 28, 2026

34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 54% 55% 56% 57% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2021 38.4% Min. 40.7% ▼ 45.9% ± 5.2% ▼ Max. 51.2% ▼ Probabilities % PC

Seat projection | June 28, 2026

25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Majority 28 seats 2021 31 seats Min. 32 ▼ 37 ▼ Max. 43 ▼ Probabilities % PC

List of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Argyle
Colton LeBlanc
 PC PC safe
2.
Queens
Kim Masland
 PC PC safe
3.
Guysborough-Tracadie
Greg Morrow
 PC PC safe
4.
Pictou East
Tim Houston
 PC PC safe
5.
Cumberland South
Tory Rushton
 PC PC safe
6.
Shelburne
Nolan Young
 PC PC safe
7.
Digby-Annapolis
Jill Balser
 PC PC safe
8.
Richmond
Trevor Boudreau
 PC PC safe
9.
Pictou West
Marco MacLeod
 PC PC safe
10.
Kings West
Chris Palmer
 PC PC safe
11.
Glace Bay-Dominion
John White
 PC PC safe
12.
Northside-Westmount
Fred Tilley
 PC PC safe
13.
Pictou Centre
Danny MacGillivray
 PC PC safe
14.
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River
Dave Ritcey
 PC PC safe
15.
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Tom Taggart
 PC PC safe
16.
Colchester North
Scott Armstrong
 PC PC safe
17.
Antigonish
Michelle Thompson
 PC PC safe
18.
Victoria-The Lakes
Dianne Timmins
 PC PC safe
19.
Eastern Passage
Barbara Adams
 PC PC safe
20.
Cape Breton East
Brian Comer
 PC PC safe
21.
Inverness-We’koqma’q
Kyle MacQuarrie
 PC PC safe
22.
Chester-St. Margaret’s
Danielle Barkhouse
 PC PC safe
23.
Lunenburg
Susan Corkum-Greek
 PC PC safe
24.
Lunenburg West
Becky Druhan [Elected as PC]
 I PC safe
25.
Eastern Shore
Kent Smith
 PC PC safe
26.
Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank
Brian Wong
 PC PC safe
27.
Hants East
John A. MacDonald
 PC PC safe
28.
Hants West
Melissa Sheehy-Richard
 PC PC safe
29.
Clare
Ryan Robicheau
 PC PC safe
30.
Bedford Basin
Tim Outhit
 PC PC safe
31.
Kings North
John A. Lohr
 PC PC likely
32.
Halifax Atlantic
Brendan Maguire
 PC PC likely
33.
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth
Brad McGowan
 PC PC leaning
34.
Chéticamp-Margarees-Pleasant Bay
Claude Bourgeois
 PC PC leaning
35.
Yarmouth
Nick Hilton
 PC PC leaning
36.
Annapolis
David Bowlby
 PC PC leaning
37.
Preston
Twila Grosse
 PC Toss up PC/NDP
38.
Kings South
Julie Vanexan
 PC Toss up PC/NDP
39.
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville
Rick Burns
 PC Toss up LIB/PC
40.
Dartmouth East
Timothy Halman
 PC Toss up PC/NDP
41.
Bedford South
Damian Stoilov
 PC LIB leaning
42.
Sackville-Uniake
Brad Johns
 PC NDP leaning
43.
Cole Harbour
Leah Martin
 PC NDP likely
44.
Sydney-Membertou
Derek Mombourquette
 L LIB leaning
45.
Cumberland North
Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
 I IND likely
46.
Sackville-Cobequid
Paul Wozney
 N NDP likely
47.
Clayton Park West
Adegoke Fadare
 PC NDP likely
48.
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier
Kendra Coombes
 N NDP likely
49.
Halifax Armdale
Rod Wilson
 N NDP likely
50.
Fairview-Clayton Park
Lina Hamid
 N NDP safe