Progressive Conservative Party

Last update: September 2, 2023
Leader | Tim Houston |
Popular vote in 2021 | 38.4% |
Current vote projection | 46.4% ± 3.4% |
Current seat projection | 40 ± 4 |
Vote projection | September 2, 2023
Seat projection | September 2, 2023
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Argyle | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
2. | Pictou East | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
3. | Queens | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
4. | Cumberland South | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
5. | Guysborough-Tracadie | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
6. | Pictou West | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
7. | Shelburne | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
8. | Inverness | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
9. | Pictou Centre | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
10. | Victoria-The Lakes | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
11. | Colchester North | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
12. | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
13. | Richmond | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
14. | Kings West | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
15. | Digby-Annapolis | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
16. | Antigonish | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
17. | Cape Breton East | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
18. | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
19. | Eastern Shore | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
20. | Hants West | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
21. | Lunenburg West | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
22. | Sackville-Uniake | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
23. | Kings North | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
24. | Lunenburg | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
25. | Eastern Passage | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
26. | Chester-St. Margaret’s | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
27. | Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
28. | Dartmouth East | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
29. | Hants East | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
30. | Preston | ![]() |
PC safe | >99% |
31. | Clare | PC likely | >99% | |
32. | Northside-Westmount | PC likely | >99% | |
33. | Hammonds Plains-Lucasville | PC likely | >99% | |
34. | Sackville-Cobequid | ![]() |
PC likely | 99% |
35. | Kings South | PC likely | 99% | |
36. | Annapolis | PC likely | 92% | |
37. | Bedford South | PC likely | 91% | |
38. | Yarmouth | PC leaning | 76% | |
39. | Cole Harbour | PC leaning | 73% | |
40. | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth | Toss up LIB/PC | 64% | |
41. | Glace Bay-Dominion | ![]() |
Toss up PC/NDP | 63% |
42. | Clayton Park West | Toss up LIB/PC/NDP | 33% | |
43. | Bedford Basin | Toss up LIB/PC | 32% | |
44. | Timberlea-Prospect | LIB likely | 8% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Argyle | PC safe |
2. | Pictou East | PC safe |
3. | Queens | PC safe |
4. | Cumberland South | PC safe |
5. | Guysborough-Tracadie | PC safe |
6. | Pictou West | PC safe |
7. | Shelburne | PC safe |
8. | Inverness | PC safe |
9. | Pictou Centre | PC safe |
10. | Victoria-The Lakes | PC safe |
11. | Colchester North | PC safe |
12. | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley | PC safe |
13. | Richmond | PC safe |
14. | Kings West | PC safe |
15. | Digby-Annapolis | PC safe |
16. | Antigonish | PC safe |
17. | Cape Breton East | PC safe |
18. | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River | PC safe |
19. | Eastern Shore | PC safe |
20. | Hants West | PC safe |
21. | Lunenburg West | PC safe |
22. | Sackville-Uniake | PC safe |
23. | Kings North | PC safe |
24. | Lunenburg | PC safe |
25. | Eastern Passage | PC safe |
26. | Chester-St. Margaret’s | PC safe |
27. | Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank | PC safe |
28. | Dartmouth East | PC safe |
29. | Hants East | PC safe |
30. | Preston | PC safe |
31. | Clare | PC likely |
32. | Northside-Westmount | PC likely |
33. | Hammonds Plains-Lucasville | PC likely |
34. | Sackville-Cobequid | PC likely |
35. | Kings South | PC likely |
36. | Annapolis | PC likely |
37. | Bedford South | PC likely |
38. | Yarmouth | PC leaning |
39. | Cole Harbour | PC leaning |
40. | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth | Toss up LIB/PC |
41. | Glace Bay-Dominion | Toss up PC/NDP |
42. | Clayton Park West | Toss up LIB/PC/NDP |
43. | Bedford Basin | Toss up LIB/PC |
44. | Timberlea-Prospect | LIB likely |