logo
logo
Nova scotia

Progressive Conservative Party





Last update: September 2, 2023

LeaderTim Houston
Popular vote in 202138.4%
Current vote projection46.4% ± 3.4%
Current seat projection40 ± 4

Vote projection | September 2, 2023

39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 43.0% ▼ 46.4% ± 3.4% ▼ Max. 49.8% ▼ Probabilities % PC

Seat projection | September 2, 2023

32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 37 ▼ 41 ▼ Max. 44 ▼ Probabilities % PC

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Argyle PC safe >99%
2. Pictou East PC safe >99%
3. Queens PC safe >99%
4. Cumberland South PC safe >99%
5. Guysborough-Tracadie PC safe >99%
6. Pictou West PC safe >99%
7. Shelburne PC safe >99%
8. Inverness PC safe >99%
9. Pictou Centre PC safe >99%
10. Victoria-The Lakes PC safe >99%
11. Colchester North PC safe >99%
12. Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley PC safe >99%
13. Richmond PC safe >99%
14. Kings West PC safe >99%
15. Digby-Annapolis PC safe >99%
16. Antigonish PC safe >99%
17. Cape Breton East PC safe >99%
18. Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River PC safe >99%
19. Eastern Shore PC safe >99%
20. Hants West PC safe >99%
21. Lunenburg West PC safe >99%
22. Sackville-Uniake PC safe >99%
23. Kings North PC safe >99%
24. Lunenburg PC safe >99%
25. Eastern Passage PC safe >99%
26. Chester-St. Margaret’s PC safe >99%
27. Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank PC safe >99%
28. Dartmouth East PC safe >99%
29. Hants East PC safe >99%
30. Preston PC safe >99%
31. Clare PC likely >99%
32. Northside-Westmount PC likely >99%
33. Hammonds Plains-Lucasville PC likely >99%
34. Sackville-Cobequid PC likely 99%
35. Kings South PC likely 99%
36. Annapolis PC likely 92%
37. Bedford South PC likely 91%
38. Yarmouth PC leaning 76%
39. Cole Harbour PC leaning 73%
40. Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Toss up LIB/PC 64%
41. Glace Bay-Dominion Toss up PC/NDP 63%
42. Clayton Park West Toss up LIB/PC/NDP 33%
43. Bedford Basin Toss up LIB/PC 32%
44. Timberlea-Prospect LIB likely 8%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Argyle PC safe
2. Pictou East PC safe
3. Queens PC safe
4. Cumberland South PC safe
5. Guysborough-Tracadie PC safe
6. Pictou West PC safe
7. Shelburne PC safe
8. Inverness PC safe
9. Pictou Centre PC safe
10. Victoria-The Lakes PC safe
11. Colchester North PC safe
12. Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley PC safe
13. Richmond PC safe
14. Kings West PC safe
15. Digby-Annapolis PC safe
16. Antigonish PC safe
17. Cape Breton East PC safe
18. Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River PC safe
19. Eastern Shore PC safe
20. Hants West PC safe
21. Lunenburg West PC safe
22. Sackville-Uniake PC safe
23. Kings North PC safe
24. Lunenburg PC safe
25. Eastern Passage PC safe
26. Chester-St. Margaret’s PC safe
27. Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank PC safe
28. Dartmouth East PC safe
29. Hants East PC safe
30. Preston PC safe
31. Clare PC likely
32. Northside-Westmount PC likely
33. Hammonds Plains-Lucasville PC likely
34. Sackville-Cobequid PC likely
35. Kings South PC likely
36. Annapolis PC likely
37. Bedford South PC likely
38. Yarmouth PC leaning
39. Cole Harbour PC leaning
40. Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Toss up LIB/PC
41. Glace Bay-Dominion Toss up PC/NDP
42. Clayton Park West Toss up LIB/PC/NDP
43. Bedford Basin Toss up LIB/PC
44. Timberlea-Prospect LIB likely