Vote projection | February 18, 2026

Seat projection | February 18, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party

	Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
1.	Argyle Colton LeBlanc	PC	PC safe
2.	Queens Kim Masland	PC	PC safe
3.	Pictou East Tim Houston	PC	PC safe
4.	Guysborough-Tracadie Greg Morrow	PC	PC safe
5.	Cumberland South Tory Rushton	PC	PC safe
6.	Shelburne Nolan Young	PC	PC safe
7.	Digby-Annapolis Jill Balser	PC	PC safe
8.	Richmond Trevor Boudreau	PC	PC safe
9.	Pictou West Marco MacLeod	PC	PC safe
10.	Kings West Chris Palmer	PC	PC safe
11.	Glace Bay-Dominion John White	PC	PC safe
12.	Pictou Centre Danny MacGillivray	PC	PC safe
13.	Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley	PC	PC safe
14.	Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Dave Ritcey	PC	PC safe
15.	Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Tom Taggart	PC	PC safe
16.	Colchester North Scott Armstrong	PC	PC safe
17.	Antigonish Michelle Thompson	PC	PC safe
18.	Victoria-The Lakes Dianne Timmins	PC	PC safe
19.	Clare Ryan Robicheau	PC	PC safe
20.	Cape Breton East Brian Comer	PC	PC safe
21.	Eastern Passage Barbara Adams	PC	PC safe
22.	Hants East John A. MacDonald	PC	PC safe
23.	Inverness Kyle MacQuarrie	PC	PC safe
24.	Chester-St. Margaret’s Danielle Barkhouse	PC	PC safe
25.	Lunenburg Susan Corkum-Greek	PC	PC safe
26.	Lunenburg West Becky Druhan [Elected as PC]	I	PC safe
27.	Eastern Shore Kent Smith	PC	PC safe
28.	Hants West Melissa Sheehy-Richard	PC	PC safe
29.	Bedford Basin Tim Outhit	PC	PC safe
30.	Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank Brian Wong	PC	PC safe
31.	Kings North John A. Lohr	PC	PC safe
32.	Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire	PC	PC likely
33.	Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Brad McGowan	PC	PC likely
34.	Yarmouth Nick Hilton	PC	PC likely
35.	Annapolis David Bowlby	PC	PC likely
36.	Preston Twila Grosse	PC	PC likely
37.	Kings South Julie Vanexan	PC	PC likely
38.	Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Rick Burns	PC	PC leaning
39.	Dartmouth East Timothy Halman	PC	PC leaning
40.	Bedford South Damian Stoilov	PC	Toss up LIB/PC
41.	Sackville-Uniake Brad Johns	PC	Toss up PC/NDP
42.	Cole Harbour Leah Martin	PC	NDP leaning
43.	Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette	L	LIB leaning
44.	Sackville-Cobequid Paul Wozney	N	NDP leaning
45.	Clayton Park West Adegoke Fadare	PC	NDP leaning
46.	Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Kendra Coombes	N	NDP likely
47.	Halifax Armdale Rod Wilson	N	NDP likely
48.	Cumberland North Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin	I	IND likely
49.	Fairview-Clayton Park Lina Hamid	N	NDP likely
50.	Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin	L	LIB likely