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Nova scotia

Antigonish


MLA elect (unofficial): Michelle Thompson (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Antigonish


Progressive Conservative Michelle Thompson
Liberal Party Sheila Sears
New Democratic Party John MacIsaac

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Antigonish 65% ± 0% PC 21% ± 0%▲ LIB 14% ± 0%▼ NDP PC 2024 50.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Antigonish >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Antigonish

LIB 21% ± 0% PC 65% ± 0% NDP 14% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Antigonish 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 58% LIB 20% NDP 20% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 58% LIB 20% NDP 20% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 61% NDP 21% LIB 19% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 60% NDP 21% LIB 18% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 62% NDP 20% LIB 18% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 65% NDP 20% LIB 15% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 65% LIB 21% NDP 14% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Antigonish

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Antigonish



2017 2021 Proj. PC 35.1% 50.3% 65% ± 0% LIB 43.4% 31.0% 21% ± 0% NDP 20.3% 16.8% 14% ± 0% GRN 0.0% 1.5% 0% ± 0%