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Nova scotia


Antigonish


MLA: Michelle Thompson (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

PC safe
Antigonish 61% ± 5%▲ PC 20% ± 4% LIB 17% ± 4%▼ NDP PC 2021 50.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Antigonish >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Antigonish

LIB 20% ± 4% PC 61% ± 5% NDP 17% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Antigonish 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 LIB 50% PC 29% NDP 18% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 LIB 47% PC 30% NDP 21% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 LIB 46% PC 29% NDP 21% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 LIB 45% PC 31% NDP 20% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 LIB 44% PC 31% NDP 22% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 LIB 42% PC 34% NDP 20% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC 50% LIB 31% NDP 17% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC 54% LIB 23% NDP 21% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC 57% LIB 21% NDP 19% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC 59% LIB 20% NDP 19% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC 61% LIB 20% NDP 17% 2024-03-09

Odds of winning | Antigonish

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 LIB >99% PC <1% NDP <1% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 LIB >99% PC <1% NDP <1% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 LIB >99% PC <1% NDP <1% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 LIB 99% PC 1% NDP <1% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 LIB 98% PC 2% NDP <1% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 LIB 89% PC 11% NDP <1% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-09

Recent electoral history | Antigonish



2017 2021 Proj. PC 35.1% 50.3% 61% ± 5% LIB 43.4% 31.0% 20% ± 4% NDP 20.3% 16.8% 17% ± 4% GRN 0.0% 1.5% 2% ± 1%