logo
Nova scotia

Cole Harbour


MLA elect (unofficial): Leah Martin (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC leaning

Candidates | Cole Harbour


Progressive Conservative Leah Martin
Liberal Party Tania Meloni
New Democratic Party Alec Stratford
Green Party John E. McStay

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Cole Harbour 42% ± 0%▲ PC 38% ± 0%▲ NDP 19% ± 0%▼ LIB LIB 2024 37.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cole Harbour 83%▲ PC 17%▼ NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cole Harbour

LIB 19% ± 0% PC 42% ± 0% NDP 38% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Cole Harbour 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 37% NDP 35% LIB 26% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 37% NDP 35% LIB 26% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 38% NDP 36% LIB 25% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 38% NDP 37% LIB 24% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 38% NDP 37% LIB 24% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 40% NDP 37% LIB 22% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 42% NDP 38% LIB 19% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Cole Harbour

LIB <1% PC 83% NDP 17% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 59% NDP 40% LIB 1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 59% NDP 40% LIB 1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 60% NDP 40% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 53% NDP 47% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 58% NDP 42% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 66% NDP 34% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 83% NDP 17% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Cole Harbour



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 33.3% 37.5% 19% ± 0% PC 32.5% 31.5% 42% ± 0% NDP 29.7% 29.7% 38% ± 0% GRN 4.4% 0.0% 2% ± 0%