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Nova scotia

Cole Harbour-Dartmouth


MLA elect (unofficial): Brad McGowan (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth


Progressive Conservative Brad McGowan
Liberal Party Vishal Bhardwaj
New Democratic Party Kayley Dixon

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Cole Harbour-Dartmouth 52% ± 0%▲ PC 25% ± 0%▲ NDP 23% ± 0%▼ LIB LIB 2024 52.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cole Harbour-Dartmouth >99%▲ PC <1% NDP <1%▼ LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth

LIB 23% ± 0% PC 52% ± 0% NDP 25% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB 39% PC 37% NDP 20% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 39% PC 37% NDP 19% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 40% LIB 39% NDP 21% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 40% LIB 38% NDP 22% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 41% LIB 38% NDP 22% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 41% LIB 37% NDP 21% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 52% NDP 25% LIB 23% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB 63% PC 37% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 64% PC 36% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 59% LIB 41% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 64% LIB 36% NDP <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 69% LIB 31% NDP <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 73% LIB 27% NDP <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Cole Harbour-Dartmouth



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 42.2% 52.3% 23% ± 0% PC 34.4% 29.7% 52% ± 0% NDP 19.7% 15.8% 25% ± 0% GRN 3.4% 2.2% 0% ± 0%