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Nova scotia

Shelburne


MLA elect (unofficial): Nolan Young (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Shelburne


Progressive Conservative Nolan Young
Liberal Party Debbie Muise
New Democratic Party Bridget Taylor

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Shelburne 77% ± 0%▲ PC 12% ± 0%▼ NDP 11% ± 0% LIB PC 2024 62.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Shelburne >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Shelburne

LIB 11% ± 0% PC 77% ± 0% NDP 12% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Shelburne 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 69% LIB 15% NDP 14% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 69% LIB 15% NDP 14% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 72% NDP 14% LIB 14% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 71% NDP 15% LIB 14% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 73% NDP 14% LIB 13% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 75% NDP 14% LIB 11% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 77% NDP 12% LIB 11% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Shelburne

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Shelburne



2017 2021 Proj. PC 43.4% 62.7% 77% ± 0% LIB 35.1% 23.6% 11% ± 0% NDP 19.1% 12.1% 12% ± 0% GRN 2.3% 1.6% 0% ± 0%