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Recent electoral history | Shelburne


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 74% ± 7% 43.4% 62.7% 76.8% NDP 13% ± 5% 19.1% 12.1% 11.8% LIB 9% ± 5% 35.1% 23.6% 11.3%

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338Canada Shelburne projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Shelburne 67% 82% 74% ± 7% PC 8% 18% 13% ± 5% NDP 5% 14% 9% ± 5% LIB PC 2024 76.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Shelburne >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Shelburne

LIB 9% ± 5% PC 74% ± 7% NDP 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Shelburne 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 78% NDP 12% LIB 10% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 77% NDP 12% LIB 9% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 76% NDP 13% LIB 9% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 74% NDP 13% LIB 9% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Shelburne

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18