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Recent electoral history | Hants East


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 60% ± 7% 34.4% 37.4% 62.7% NDP 25% ± 6% 16.9% 24.0% 23.0% LIB 12% ± 4% 43.9% 36.4% 14.3%

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338Canada Hants East projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Hants East 53% 68% 60% ± 7% PC 19% 31% 25% ± 6% NDP 8% 16% 12% ± 4% LIB PC 2024 62.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hants East >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Hants East

LIB 12% ± 4% PC 60% ± 7% NDP 25% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Hants East 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 64% NDP 23% LIB 13% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 63% NDP 23% LIB 12% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 62% NDP 25% LIB 12% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 60% NDP 25% LIB 12% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Hants East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18