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Nova scotia

Hants East


MLA elect (unofficial): John A. MacDonald (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Hants East


Progressive Conservative John A. MacDonald
Liberal Party Shannon MacWilliam
New Democratic Party Abby Cameron

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Hants East 63% ± 0%▲ PC 23% ± 0%▼ NDP 14% ± 0%▼ LIB PC 2024 37.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hants East >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Hants East

LIB 14% ± 0% PC 63% ± 0% NDP 23% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Hants East 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 44% NDP 28% LIB 24% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 44% NDP 29% LIB 24% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 47% NDP 30% LIB 23% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 47% NDP 31% LIB 22% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 48% NDP 30% LIB 22% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 51% NDP 30% LIB 19% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 63% NDP 23% LIB 14% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Hants East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Hants East



2017 2021 Proj. PC 34.4% 37.4% 63% ± 0% LIB 43.9% 36.4% 14% ± 0% NDP 16.9% 24.0% 23% ± 0% GRN 4.8% 2.2% 0% ± 0%