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Nova scotia

Clayton Park West


MLA elect (unofficial): Adegoke Fadare (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
Toss up PC/NDP

Candidates | Clayton Park West


Progressive Conservative Adegoke Fadare
Liberal Party Elizabeth Eustaquio-Domondon
New Democratic Party Wendy Hood-Morris

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Clayton Park West 35% ± 0%▲ PC 34% ± 0%▲ NDP 31% ± 0%▼ LIB LIB 2024 47.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Clayton Park West 62%▲ PC 34%▲ NDP 5%▼ LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Clayton Park West

LIB 31% ± 0% PC 35% ± 0% NDP 34% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Clayton Park West 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB 35% PC 31% NDP 30% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 35% PC 31% NDP 30% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 35% PC 33% NDP 32% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 34% NDP 33% PC 33% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 LIB 34% NDP 33% PC 33% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 34% LIB 33% NDP 33% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 35% NDP 34% LIB 31% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Clayton Park West

LIB 5% PC 62% NDP 34% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB 72% PC 17% NDP 11% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 72% PC 16% NDP 11% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 50% PC 29% NDP 21% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 40% NDP 30% PC 30% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 LIB 35% NDP 33% PC 32% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 40% LIB 31% NDP 29% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 62% NDP 34% LIB 5% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Clayton Park West



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 46.1% 47.6% 31% ± 0% PC 26.0% 24.8% 35% ± 0% NDP 20.7% 24.3% 34% ± 0% GRN 5.5% 2.8% 0% ± 0%