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Nova scotia

Clayton Park West


MLA elect (unofficial): Rafah DiConstanzo (LIB)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
Toss up LIB/PC/NDP

Candidates | Clayton Park West


Progressive Conservative Adegoke Fadare
Liberal Party Elizabeth Eustaquio-Domondon
New Democratic Party Wendy Hood-Morris

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Clayton Park West 34% ± 6%▼ LIB 33% ± 6%▲ NDP 33% ± 6% PC LIB 2021 47.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Clayton Park West 40%▼ LIB 30%▲ NDP 30%▲ PC Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Clayton Park West

LIB 34% ± 6% PC 33% ± 6% NDP 33% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Clayton Park West 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 LIB 35% PC 31% NDP 30% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 LIB 35% PC 31% NDP 30% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 35% PC 31% NDP 30% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 35% PC 33% NDP 32% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 34% NDP 33% PC 33% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Clayton Park West

LIB 40% PC 30% NDP 30% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 LIB 72% PC 17% NDP 11% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 LIB 72% PC 17% NDP 11% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 72% PC 16% NDP 11% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 50% PC 29% NDP 21% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 40% NDP 30% PC 30% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Clayton Park West



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 46.1% 47.6% 34% ± 6% PC 26.0% 24.8% 33% ± 6% NDP 20.7% 24.3% 33% ± 6% GRN 5.5% 2.8% 0% ± 0%