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Nova scotia


Bedford Basin


MLA: Kelly Regan (LIB)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

Toss up LIB/PC
Bedford Basin 37% ± 6%▲ LIB 36% ± 6%▲ PC 24% ± 5%▼ NDP 3% ± 2% GRN LIB 2021 51.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Bedford Basin 60%▼ LIB 40%▲ PC <1%▼ NDP Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Bedford Basin

LIB 37% ± 6% PC 36% ± 6% NDP 24% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Bedford Basin 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 LIB 58% PC 25% NDP 10% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 LIB 56% PC 27% NDP 12% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 LIB 56% PC 27% NDP 12% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 LIB 55% PC 28% NDP 11% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 LIB 55% PC 28% NDP 12% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 LIB 53% PC 31% NDP 12% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 LIB 51% PC 26% NDP 21% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 LIB 40% PC 29% NDP 27% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 LIB 39% PC 32% NDP 26% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 LIB 36% PC 34% NDP 27% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 LIB 37% PC 36% NDP 24% 2024-03-09

Odds of winning | Bedford Basin

LIB 60% PC 40% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 LIB >99% NDP <1% PC <1% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 LIB >99% NDP <1% PC <1% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 LIB >99% NDP <1% PC <1% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 LIB >99% PC <1% NDP <1% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 LIB >99% PC <1% NDP <1% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 LIB >99% PC <1% NDP <1% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 LIB >99% NDP <1% PC <1% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 LIB 98% PC 1% NDP <1% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 LIB 89% PC 11% NDP <1% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 LIB 67% PC 32% NDP 1% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 LIB 60% PC 40% NDP <1% 2024-03-09

Recent electoral history | Bedford Basin



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 52.6% 51.1% 37% ± 6% PC 31.1% 25.9% 36% ± 6% NDP 11.6% 21.0% 24% ± 5% GRN 4.8% 2.0% 3% ± 2%