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Nova scotia


Eastern Passage


MLA: Barbara Adams (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

PC safe
Eastern Passage 52% ± 7%▲ PC 22% ± 5%▼ NDP 16% ± 5% LIB 10% ± 4%▲ GRN PC 2021 44.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Eastern Passage >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Eastern Passage

LIB 16% ± 5% PC 52% ± 7% NDP 22% ± 5% GRN 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Eastern Passage 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 LIB 41% PC 27% NDP 24% GRN 8% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 LIB 37% NDP 29% PC 28% GRN 6% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 LIB 37% NDP 29% PC 28% GRN 6% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 LIB 37% PC 30% NDP 28% GRN 6% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 LIB 35% NDP 30% PC 30% GRN 5% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 LIB 34% PC 33% NDP 28% GRN 5% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC 45% LIB 26% NDP 22% GRN 7% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC 46% NDP 26% LIB 19% GRN 8% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC 49% NDP 24% LIB 17% GRN 9% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC 50% NDP 24% LIB 16% GRN 9% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC 52% NDP 22% LIB 16% GRN 10% 2024-03-09

Odds of winning | Eastern Passage

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 LIB 97% PC 3% NDP 1% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 LIB 85% NDP 8% PC 7% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 LIB 85% NDP 9% PC 6% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 LIB 80% PC 14% NDP 5% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 LIB 70% NDP 15% PC 15% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 LIB 53% PC 40% NDP 6% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-09

Recent electoral history | Eastern Passage



2017 2021 Proj. PC 33.5% 44.8% 52% ± 7% LIB 34.5% 26.2% 16% ± 5% NDP 27.1% 22.2% 22% ± 5% GRN 4.9% 6.8% 10% ± 4%