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Nova scotia

Eastern Passage


MLA elect (unofficial): Barbara Adams (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Eastern Passage


Progressive Conservative Barbara Adams
Liberal Party Chris Peters
Independent Tammy Jakeman

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Eastern Passage 64% ± 0%▲ PC 26% ± 0%▼ LIB 11% ± 0%▲ IND PC 2024 44.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Eastern Passage >99% PC <1% LIB <1% INDOdds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Eastern Passage

LIB 26% ± 0% PC 64% ± 0% IND 11% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Eastern Passage 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC IND November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 49% LIB 17% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 49% LIB 17% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 58% LIB 39% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 59% LIB 38% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 59% LIB 38% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 60% LIB 37% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 64% LIB 26% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Eastern Passage

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 99% LIB 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 99% LIB 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Eastern Passage



2017 2021 Proj. PC 33.5% 44.8% 64% ± 0% LIB 34.5% 26.2% 26% ± 0% NDP 27.1% 22.2% 0% ± 0% GRN 4.9% 6.8% 0% ± 0% IND 0.0% 0.0% 11% ± 0%