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Nova scotia


Eastern Passage


MLA: Barbara Adams (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

PC safe
Eastern Passage 52% ± 7%▲ PC 22% ± 5%▼ NDP 16% ± 5% LIB 10% ± 4%▲ GRN PC 2021 44.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Eastern Passage >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Eastern Passage

LIB 16% ± 5% PC 52% ± 7% NDP 22% ± 5% GRN 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Eastern Passage 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Eastern Passage

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Eastern Passage



2017 2021 Proj. PC 33.5% 44.8% 52% ± 7% LIB 34.5% 26.2% 16% ± 5% NDP 27.1% 22.2% 22% ± 5% GRN 4.9% 6.8% 10% ± 4%