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Nova scotia

Hammonds Plains-Lucasville


MLA elect (unofficial): Ben Jessome (LIB)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
PC likely

Candidates | Hammonds Plains-Lucasville


Progressive Conservative Rick Burns
Liberal Party Ben Jessome
New Democratic Party Terry J. Eyland
Green Party Roger Croll

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Hammonds Plains-Lucasville 45% ± 7% PC 31% ± 6%▼ LIB 22% ± 5%▲ NDP 3% ± 2% GRN LIB 2021 46.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hammonds Plains-Lucasville 99% PC 1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Hammonds Plains-Lucasville

LIB 31% ± 6% PC 45% ± 7% NDP 22% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Hammonds Plains-Lucasville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC 43% LIB 34% NDP 21% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC 43% LIB 34% NDP 21% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 43% LIB 34% NDP 20% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 45% LIB 32% NDP 21% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 45% LIB 31% NDP 22% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Hammonds Plains-Lucasville

LIB 1% PC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC 94% LIB 6% NDP <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC 94% LIB 6% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 94% LIB 6% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 99% LIB 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 99% LIB 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Hammonds Plains-Lucasville



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 46.7% 46.1% 31% ± 6% PC 32.9% 35.7% 45% ± 7% NDP 15.7% 16.6% 22% ± 5% GRN 4.7% 1.6% 3% ± 2%