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Recent electoral history | Cape Breton East


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 62% ± 7% 67.2% 46.3% 61.0% LIB 18% ± 5% 24.2% 36.7% 25.5% NDP 16% ± 5% 8.6% 17.0% 13.5%

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338Canada Cape Breton East projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Cape Breton East 55% 69% 62% ± 7% PC 13% 23% 18% ± 5% LIB 11% 21% 16% ± 5% NDP PC 2024 61.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cape Breton East >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Cape Breton East

LIB 18% ± 5% PC 62% ± 7% NDP 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Cape Breton East 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 62% LIB 24% NDP 14% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 63% LIB 22% NDP 14% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 62% LIB 22% NDP 15% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 62% LIB 18% NDP 16% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Cape Breton East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18