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Nova scotia

Cape Breton East


MLA elect (unofficial): Brian Comer (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Cape Breton East


Progressive Conservative Brian Comer
Liberal Party Joe Ward
New Democratic Party Isabelle Lalonde

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Cape Breton East 61% ± 0%▲ PC 25% ± 0%▲ LIB 14% ± 0%▼ NDP PC 2024 46.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cape Breton East >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cape Breton East

LIB 25% ± 0% PC 61% ± 0% NDP 14% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Cape Breton East 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 54% LIB 25% NDP 20% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 55% LIB 24% NDP 20% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 56% LIB 23% NDP 21% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 56% LIB 22% NDP 22% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 57% LIB 22% NDP 21% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 59% NDP 21% LIB 20% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 61% LIB 25% NDP 14% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Cape Breton East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Cape Breton East



2017 2021 Proj. PC 67.2% 46.3% 61% ± 0% LIB 24.2% 36.7% 25% ± 0% NDP 8.6% 17.0% 14% ± 0%