logo
Nova scotia

Recent electoral history | Pictou West


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 72% ± 7% 62.4% 63.6% 74.2% NDP 12% ± 4% 18.8% 12.4% 10.6% LIB 9% ± 4% 16.5% 21.4% 13.3% GRN 4% ± 3% 2.3% 1.8% 2.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Nova Scotia flag

338Canada Pictou West projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Pictou West 65% 79% 72% ± 7% PC 7% 16% 12% ± 4% NDP 5% 13% 9% ± 4% LIB 0% 7% 4% ± 3% GRN PC 2024 74.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pictou West >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Pictou West

LIB 9% ± 4% PC 72% ± 7% NDP 12% ± 4% GRN 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Pictou West 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP GRN February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 75% LIB 12% NDP 11% GRN 3% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 75% LIB 11% NDP 11% GRN 4% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 73% NDP 12% LIB 11% GRN 4% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 72% NDP 12% LIB 9% GRN 4% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Pictou West

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18