338Canada Nova Scotia | Nova Scotia Liberal Party





Last update: August 19, 2021

LeaderIan Rankin
Popular vote in 201739.5%
Current vote projection36.8% ± 3.5%
Current seat projection19 ± 6




Vote Projection | Nova Scotia Liberal Party | August 19, 2021




Seat Projection | Nova Scotia Liberal Party | August 19, 2021





Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Nova Scotia Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Halifax Atlantic LIB safe >99%
2. Timberlea-Prospect LIB safe >99%
3. Sydney-Membertou LIB safe >99%
4. Bedford Basin LIB safe >99%
5. Clayton Park West LIB safe >99%
6. Cole Harbour-Dartmouth LIB safe >99%
7. Annapolis LIB safe >99%
8. Yarmouth LIB safe >99%
9. Preston LIB likely 99%
10. Bedford South LIB likely 99%
11. Kings South LIB likely 98%
12. Northside-Westmount LIB likely 98%
13. Hammonds Plains-Lucasville LIB likely 97%
14. Halifax Armdale LIB leaning 88%
15. Cole Harbour LIB leaning 84%
16. Clare LIB leaning 81%
17. Fairview-Clayton Park Toss up LIB/NDP 60%
18. Hants East Toss up LIB/PC 42%
19. Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Toss up LIB/NDP 39%
20. Hants West Toss up LIB/PC 39%
21. Chester-St. Margaret`s Toss up LIB/PC 32%
22. Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank PC leaning 21%
23. Dartmouth East PC leaning 20%
24. Halifax Citadel-Sable Island NDP leaning 16%
25. Glace Bay-Dominion Toss up LIB/PC/NDP 11%
26. Kings West PC likely 9%
27. Lunenburg PC likely 8%
28. Cape Breton East PC likely 4%
29. Lunenburg West PC likely 4%
30. Sackville-Uniake PC likely 2%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Halifax Atlantic LIB safe
2. Timberlea-Prospect LIB safe
3. Sydney-Membertou LIB safe
4. Bedford Basin LIB safe
5. Clayton Park West LIB safe
6. Cole Harbour-Dartmouth LIB safe
7. Annapolis LIB safe
8. Yarmouth LIB safe
9. Preston LIB likely
10. Bedford South LIB likely
11. Kings South LIB likely
12. Northside-Westmount LIB likely
13. Hammonds Plains-Lucasville LIB likely
14. Halifax Armdale LIB leaning
15. Cole Harbour LIB leaning
16. Clare LIB leaning
17. Fairview-Clayton Park Toss up LIB/NDP
18. Hants East Toss up LIB/PC
19. Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Toss up LIB/NDP
20. Hants West Toss up LIB/PC
21. Chester-St. Margaret`s Toss up LIB/PC
22. Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank PC leaning
23. Dartmouth East PC leaning
24. Halifax Citadel-Sable Island NDP leaning
25. Glace Bay-Dominion Toss up LIB/PC/NDP
26. Kings West PC likely
27. Lunenburg PC likely
28. Cape Breton East PC likely
29. Lunenburg West PC likely
30. Sackville-Uniake PC likely



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